{"source":"polymarket","id":"653446","ticker":"next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406","slug":"next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406","title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:18:26.879119Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1315.94111,"volume_24hr":1315.94111,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.443614959716797,"normalized_volume":10.650395393371582,"liquidity":111543.1585,"open_interest":1295.94111,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"105448","slug":"uk-labour-leadership","label":"UK Labour Leadership"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101319","slug":"starmer","label":"Starmer"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Netanyahu - Israel PM","top_outcome_probability":0.325,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":56.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.435134Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.435134Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.948328Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406","chart_24h":[0.0,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,691.99,1271.98,1271.98,1271.98,1271.98,1283.09111,1283.09111,1315.94111],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750302","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627368","question":"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Netanyahu - Israel PM","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.33,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:18:42.967640Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":56.0,"volume_24hr":56.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":56.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.777066707611084,"normalized_volume":4.7359442710876465,"liquidity":865.1437,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627368","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? 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Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:20:19.073603Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44.0,"volume_24hr":44.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.23500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":44.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.121269702911377,"normalized_volume":4.1983323097229,"liquidity":15451.8613,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-no-listed-leader-be-out-before-2027-20260630194627385","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? 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Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:31.795575Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":55.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.255,"volume_24h_change":55.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.726595878601074,"normalized_volume":4.694569110870361,"liquidity":748.3926,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-mahmoud-abbas-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627378","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? 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Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:42.958213Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.0,"volume_24hr":45.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.255,"volume_24h_change":45.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.180578708648682,"normalized_volume":4.246953010559082,"liquidity":914.1584,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-miguel-diaz-canel-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627382","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.345,0.295,0.275,0.25,0.205,0.165,0.135,0.215,0.23,0.225,0.235,0.18,0.185,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750314","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-pedro-sanchez-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627380","question":"Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Sánchez - Spanish PM","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:41.133260Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":55.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":55.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.726595878601074,"normalized_volume":4.694569110870361,"liquidity":907.4005,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-pedro-sanchez-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627380","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.35,0.305,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.195,0.215,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.135,0.185,0.215,0.18,0.185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750317","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-delcy-rodriguez-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627383","question":"Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:52.057059Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":55.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.28,"volume_24h_change":55.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.726595878601074,"normalized_volume":4.694569110870361,"liquidity":894.787,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:28:06.857238Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:27:45.475714Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-delcy-rodriguez-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627383","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.345,0.315,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.155,0.135,0.145,0.155,0.15,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750308","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-vladimir-putin-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627374","question":"Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Putin - Russia President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:07.876818Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.96111,"volume_24hr":43.96111,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":43.96111,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.118943214416504,"normalized_volume":4.196425437927246,"liquidity":13296.6129,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:12:40.297417Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:12:05.237304Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627374","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.54,0.42,0.415,0.08,0.09,0.105,0.095,0.1,0.1,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750315","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-claudia-sheinbaum-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627381","question":"Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Sheinbaum - Mexico President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:38.089212Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32.0,"volume_24hr":32.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":32.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.320736885070801,"normalized_volume":3.5420689582824707,"liquidity":10128.4805,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-claudia-sheinbaum-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627381","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.195,0.135,0.13,0.115,0.105,0.08,0.075,0.085,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750318","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-ahmed-al-sharaa-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627384","question":"Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"al-Sharaa - Syria President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:20:13.167608Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":55.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":55.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.726595878601074,"normalized_volume":4.694569110870361,"liquidity":9102.9919,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Syria"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:12:24.018583Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:12:05.237304Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-ahmed-al-sharaa-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627384","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.35,0.305,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.215,0.155,0.155,0.165,0.11,0.12,0.095,0.1,0.08,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750304","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-gavin-newsom-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627370","question":"Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Newsom - California Governor","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:18:52.930559Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":55.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.355,"volume_24h_change":55.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.726595878601074,"normalized_volume":4.694569110870361,"liquidity":2959.4402,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-gavin-newsom-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627370","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? 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Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:25.968912Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":55.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.355,"volume_24h_change":55.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.726595878601074,"normalized_volume":4.694569110870361,"liquidity":2733.9761,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:42:38.703612Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:42:21.307957Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-sanae-takaichi-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627377","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? 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Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:37.085834Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27.99,"volume_24hr":27.99,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":27.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.006475448608398,"normalized_volume":3.28444242477417,"liquidity":10884.3224,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-friedrich-merz-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627379","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.335,0.315,0.31,0.375,0.065,0.06,0.065,0.055,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750300","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-kim-jong-un-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627366","question":"Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:18:34.716289Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22.0,"volume_24hr":22.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":22.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.4745686054229736,"normalized_volume":2.8483941555023193,"liquidity":12661.7664,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["North Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T11:25:56.421999Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T11:25:41.817607Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627366","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.425,0.345,0.395,0.085,0.06,0.06,0.055,0.065,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750299","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-recep-tayyip-erdogan-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627365","question":"Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Erdoğan - Türkiye President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:18:29.908744Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":634.99,"volume_24hr":634.99,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":634.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.72671890258789,"normalized_volume":12.072721481323242,"liquidity":5059.007,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Turkey"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:26:40.286333Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:26:22.066680Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-recep-tayyip-erdogan-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627365","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.445,0.405,0.365,0.335,0.335,0.365,0.105,0.11,0.165,0.07,0.06,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750301","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-xi-jinping-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627367","question":"Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Xi - General Secretary of the CCP","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:18:37.803066Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":55.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4,"volume_24h_change":55.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.726595878601074,"normalized_volume":4.694569110870361,"liquidity":5282.6246,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T11:40:57.101552Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T11:40:40.711394Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-xi-jinping-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627367","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.105,0.06,0.055,0.05,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750306","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-donald-trump-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627372","question":"Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Trump - USA President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:01.742703Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.24499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.7516021728515625,"normalized_volume":3.0755016803741455,"liquidity":4972.0526,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T11:56:39.258992Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T11:56:21.675631Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-donald-trump-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627372","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.285,0.225,0.16,0.21,0.105,0.075,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.045,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750310","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-sebastien-lecornu-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627376","question":"Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Lecornu - France PM","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:19.948239Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":693.8484,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T13:42:38.703612Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T13:42:21.307957Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-sebastien-lecornu-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627376","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.435,0.42,0.39,0.385,0.385,0.37,0.365,0.355,0.305,0.25,0.245,0.235,0.24,0.22,0.205,0.195,0.24,0.235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750307","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-volodymyr-zelenskyy-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627373","question":"Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Zelenskyy - Ukraine President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:02.766460Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.3,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2965.7259,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-volodymyr-zelenskyy-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627373","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.435,0.415,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.145,0.14,0.135,0.13,0.135,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750309","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627375","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Lula da Silva - Brazil President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:19:22.960169Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.3,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2363.7088,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627375","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.435,0.41,0.43,0.385,0.375,0.37,0.365,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.225,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.135,0.14,0.145,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750303","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-anthony-albanese-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627369","question":"Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Albanese - Australia PM","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:18:46.762792Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1765.7976,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:44:09.290570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:43:50.454640Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-anthony-albanese-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627369","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.425,0.405,0.4,0.39,0.375,0.37,0.36,0.225,0.13,0.09,0.095,0.09,0.095,0.09,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750305","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-javier-milei-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627371","question":"Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Milei - Argentina President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:18:56.732958Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1607.4615,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Argentina"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T11:40:57.101552Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T11:40:40.711394Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-javier-milei-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627371","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.435,0.395,0.39,0.375,0.385,0.37,0.365,0.355,0.275,0.275,0.155,0.095,0.15,0.12,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2750298","event_id":"653446","slug":"will-emmanuel-macron-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627364","question":"Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?","group_item_title":"Macron - France President","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T02:18:26.879119Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":4630.0108,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T14:28:06.857238Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T14:27:45.475714Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T02:32:20.964169Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406/will-emmanuel-macron-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627364","event_title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","chart_24h":[0.44,0.41,0.415,0.37,0.37,0.385,0.06,0.06,0.055,0.05,0.055]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/653446","as_of":"2026-07-01T14:50:00.820698Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)\" — top market at 6% probability across 22 outcomes","source_url":null}}