{"source":"polymarket","id":"655493","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-3-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-3-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T16:00:14Z","end_date":"2026-07-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37827.45833999997,"volume_24hr":37825.49755700001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.635292053222656,"normalized_volume":22.872060775756836,"liquidity":33920.8606,"open_interest":23571.817907,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":37821.57599100001,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:56:06.930114Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:56:06.930114Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T16:15:03.311655Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-3-2026","chart_24h":[3.921566,3.921566,3.921566,3.921566,3.921566,3.921566,8.921566,13.921566,16.921566,21.921566,26.921566,91.912741,91.912741,94.412741,99.412741,140.214626,477.955282,489.65465,491.87465,510.521572,5088.691263000001,15805.939636000003,22422.578286000004,28571.738841000006,29130.727187000004,32954.60271700001,33363.20442700001,34319.99644300001,36164.242998000016,37318.69535100001,37357.927630000006,37785.57679700001,37817.70197700001],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2757976","event_id":"655493","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-3-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T16:00:14Z","end_date":"2026-07-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37827.45833999997,"volume_24hr":37825.49755700001,"prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":37821.57599100001,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.560691833496094,"normalized_volume":31.991844177246094,"liquidity":32643.9008,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:57:07.074522Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:56:07.112924Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T16:15:03.403736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-3-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-3-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.475,0.485,0.485,0.49,0.495,0.485,0.375,0.545,0.535,0.575,0.535,0.485,0.415,0.375,0.445,0.435,0.435,0.425]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/655493","as_of":"2026-07-02T23:03:25.400273Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?\" — top market at 42% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}