{"source":"polymarket","id":"656321","ticker":"az-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260630171843790","slug":"az-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260630171843790","title":"AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T20:53:03.047728Z","end_date":"2026-07-21T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1180.565858,"volume_24hr":500.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":353.269525,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.334854125976562,"normalized_volume":14.038400650024414,"liquidity":11784.3124,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:06:12.183448Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T01:21:47.350868Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T21:06:05.684417Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/az-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260630171843790/will-greg-stanton-be-the-az-04-democratic-nominee-20260630171845429","event_title":"AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.835,0.83,0.845,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.845,0.84,0.845,0.845,0.845,0.845,0.85,0.845,0.85,0.865,0.865,0.865,0.865,0.865,0.87]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2760919","event_id":"656321","slug":"will-kai-newkirk-be-the-az-04-democratic-nominee-20260630171845428","question":"Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Kai Newkirk","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T20:52:58.015678Z","end_date":"2026-07-21T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1012.8015770000001,"volume_24hr":608.341577,"prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":520.1515770000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.187959671020508,"normalized_volume":13.437240600585938,"liquidity":7505.7222,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:06:12.183448Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T02:04:59.399148Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T21:06:05.684417Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/az-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260630171843790/will-kai-newkirk-be-the-az-04-democratic-nominee-20260630171845428","event_title":"AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.18,0.13,0.165,0.165,0.125,0.165,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.085,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2760924","event_id":"656321","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-az-04-democratic-nominee-20260630171845433","question":"Will another candidate be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T20:53:57.173650Z","end_date":"2026-07-21T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:06:38.359296Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T21:06:05.684417Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T21:06:05.684417Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/az-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260630171843790/will-another-candidate-be-the-az-04-democratic-nominee-20260630171845433","event_title":"AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/656321","as_of":"2026-07-08T02:31:39.992679Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner\" — top market at 8% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}