{"source":"polymarket","id":"656425","ticker":"usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768","slug":"usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768","title":"USMCA extended in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.\n\nThe following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.\n\nThe primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768-HWTz4tkpIt7-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768-HWTz4tkpIt7-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:37:17.339353Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1177.560203,"volume_24hr":1177.560203,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.425122261047363,"normalized_volume":10.29763126373291,"liquidity":4629.8369,"open_interest":705.556692,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"311","slug":"trade","label":"trade"},{"id":"245","slug":"canada","label":"Canada"},{"id":"956","slug":"mexico","label":"Mexico"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.235,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.265,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1177.560203,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:15.186999Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:15.186999Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T21:51:32.428518Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768","chart_24h":[0.0,129.761927,189.213978,189.213978,1032.108592,1032.108592,1139.148592,1139.148592,1139.148592,1139.148592,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1145.600203,1177.560203,1177.560203,1177.560203,1177.560203,1177.560203,1177.560203,1177.560203,1177.560203,1177.560203,1177.560203,1177.560203],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761052","event_id":"656425","slug":"usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768","question":"USMCA extended in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.\n\nThe following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.\n\nThe primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768-HWTz4tkpIt7-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768-HWTz4tkpIt7-.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:37:17.339353Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1177.560203,"volume_24hr":1177.560203,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":1177.560203,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.45737648010254,"normalized_volume":14.402615547180176,"liquidity":4888.0369,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States","Mexico","Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:47.109553Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:15.314521Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T21:51:32.445879Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768/usmca-extended-in-2026-20260701162719768","event_title":"USMCA extended in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.305,0.235,0.225,0.285,0.305,0.295,0.295,0.23]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/656425","as_of":"2026-07-02T20:05:09.975331Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"USMCA extended in 2026?\" — top market at 24% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}