{"source":"polymarket","id":"656452","ticker":"south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108","slug":"south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108","title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-winner-pnv0H_hV9nsd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-winner-pnv0H_hV9nsd.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:48:59.394080Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":663.30654,"volume_24hr":389.30654,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.295373916625977,"normalized_volume":8.610041618347168,"liquidity":12824.25405,"open_interest":343.258688,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"24","slug":"us-election","label":"USA Election"},{"id":"105089","slug":"south-dakota","label":"South Dakota"},{"id":"105530","slug":"july-28-primaries","label":"July 28 Primaries"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:25.822250Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:25.822250Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.630437Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,384.29654,389.30654,389.30654,389.30654,389.30654,389.30654,389.30654],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761145","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-1015-20260701162559953","question":"Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Rhoden 10–15%","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.395,0.605],"probability":0.395,"spread":0.746,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:11.433692Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":87.1,"volume_24hr":43.1,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999962,"volume_24h_change":43.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.029454231262207,"normalized_volume":5.625669479370117,"liquidity":102.25125,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:35:59.113836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:26.157103Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-1015-20260701162559953","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.405,0.4,0.405,0.395,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.415,0.395,0.375,0.375,0.365,0.36,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.435,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.025,0.025,0.315,0.425,0.3795,0.4055,0.395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761149","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-510-20260701162559957","question":"Will Toby Doeden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Doeden 5–10%","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.393,0.607],"probability":0.393,"spread":0.744,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:26.294227Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":67.34827,"volume_24hr":30.34827,"prob_24h_change":-0.007000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":30.34827,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.163635730743408,"normalized_volume":5.005977630615234,"liquidity":82.7516,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:35:59.113836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:26.157103Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-510-20260701162559957","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.385,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.365,0.36,0.375,0.375,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.355,0.365,0.365,0.43,0.405,0.405,0.025,0.025,0.4025,0.4145,0.388,0.406,0.393]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761147","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-less-than-5-20260701162559955","question":"Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Rhoden <5%","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.377,0.623],"probability":0.377,"spread":0.712,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:17.414250Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":74.34827000000001,"volume_24hr":30.34827,"prob_24h_change":-0.04799999999999999,"volume_24h_change":30.34827,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.163635730743408,"normalized_volume":5.239721298217773,"liquidity":90.54621,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:35:59.113836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:26.157103Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-less-than-5-20260701162559955","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.405,0.405,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.435,0.42,0.41,0.385,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.385,0.42,0.41,0.405,0.405,0.025,0.025,0.403,0.4165,0.41,0.41,0.377]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761151","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-1520-20260701162559959","question":"Will Toby Doeden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Doeden 15–20%","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3725,0.6275],"probability":0.3725,"spread":0.727,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:38.721746Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31.909999999999997,"volume_24hr":31.91,"prob_24h_change":-0.03250000000000003,"volume_24h_change":31.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.281978130340576,"normalized_volume":3.4237704277038574,"liquidity":84.57708,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:35:59.113836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:26.157103Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-1520-20260701162559959","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.375,0.375,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.405,0.375,0.365,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.35,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.405,0.395,0.42,0.41,0.0195,0.0065,0.007,0.36,0.329,0.3845,0.3725]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761143","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-more-than-20-20260701162559951","question":"Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by more than 20%?","group_item_title":"Rhoden 20%+","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.187,0.813],"probability":0.187,"spread":0.058,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:48:59.394080Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":127.9,"volume_24hr":82.9,"prob_24h_change":-0.22299999999999998,"volume_24h_change":82.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.88316535949707,"normalized_volume":6.622390270233154,"liquidity":155.00895,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:35:59.113836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:26.157103Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-more-than-20-20260701162559951","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.4,0.375,0.375,0.435,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.375,0.385,0.38,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.39,0.39,0.385,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.214,0.1985,0.1935,0.1925,0.188,0.188,0.187]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761144","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-1520-20260701162559952","question":"Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Rhoden 15–20%","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1655,0.8345],"probability":0.1655,"spread":0.287,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:04.482163Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":47.900000000000006,"volume_24hr":26.9,"prob_24h_change":-0.19449999999999998,"volume_24h_change":26.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8867299556732178,"normalized_volume":4.243887424468994,"liquidity":333.90239,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:35:59.113836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:26.157103Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-1520-20260701162559952","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.355,0.345,0.385,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.415,0.37,0.36,0.355,0.075,0.165,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.035,0.1655]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761152","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-more-than-20-20260701162559960","question":"Will Toby Doeden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by more than 20%?","group_item_title":"Doeden 20%+","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:40.955516Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":47.900000000000006,"volume_24hr":26.9,"prob_24h_change":-0.23,"volume_24h_change":26.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8867299556732178,"normalized_volume":4.243887424468994,"liquidity":343.0326,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:35:59.113836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:26.157103Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-more-than-20-20260701162559960","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.375,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.375,0.36,0.355,0.36,0.36,0.365,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.355,0.345,0.345,0.35,0.425,0.385,0.375,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.185,0.19,0.12,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761146","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-510-20260701162559954","question":"Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Rhoden 5–10%","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:14.296108Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":66.9,"volume_24hr":26.9,"prob_24h_change":-0.27499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":26.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8867299556732178,"normalized_volume":4.9903950691223145,"liquidity":365.9864,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:05:16.597235Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T17:18:18.834413Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-larry-rhoden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-510-20260701162559954","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.375,0.375,0.36,0.36,0.425,0.38,0.38,0.375,0.365,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.355,0.355,0.35,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.415,0.395,0.375,0.37,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761150","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-1015-20260701162559958","question":"Will Toby Doeden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Doeden 10–15%","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1045,0.8955],"probability":0.1045,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:35.906479Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":85.10000000000001,"volume_24hr":63.1,"prob_24h_change":-0.3105,"volume_24h_change":63.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.072025775909424,"normalized_volume":5.568126678466797,"liquidity":380.05266,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:35:59.113836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:26.157103Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-1015-20260701162559958","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.4,0.395,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.355,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.435,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.64,0.0195,0.015,0.1005,0.211,0.181,0.1065,0.1045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761148","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-less-than-5-20260701162559956","question":"Will Toby Doeden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Doeden <5%","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0365,0.9635],"probability":0.0365,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:21.314640Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.9,"volume_24hr":26.9,"prob_24h_change":-0.34850000000000003,"volume_24h_change":26.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8867299556732178,"normalized_volume":3.107738971710205,"liquidity":311.88166,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:35:59.113836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:34:26.157103Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-toby-doeden-win-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-by-less-than-5-20260701162559956","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.325,0.325,0.32,0.32,0.325,0.425,0.4,0.44,0.395,0.006,0.0165,0.172,0.081,0.365,0.234,0.0365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761153","event_id":"656452","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-20260701162559961","question":"Will another outcome occur in the South Dakota Governor primary runoff?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T21:49:45.227730Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T06:12:39.750027Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:06:35.673253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260701162559108/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-south-dakota-governor-primary-runoff-20260701162559961","event_title":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/656452","as_of":"2026-07-10T18:45:14.428470Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory\" — top market at 19% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}