{"source":"polymarket","id":"656668","ticker":"california-high-earner-permanent-tax-proposition","slug":"california-high-earner-permanent-tax-proposition","title":"California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition","description":"Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca_flag_square-133a7ef2ed.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca_flag_square-133a7ef2ed.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T22:30:15.901550Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1410.99,"volume_24hr":1410.99,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.223485946655273,"normalized_volume":10.830609321594238,"liquidity":3876.9703,"open_interest":236.3,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"342","slug":"california","label":"California"},{"id":"456","slug":"referendum","label":"referendum"},{"id":"24","slug":"us-election","label":"USA Election"},{"id":"104045","slug":"california-midterm","label":"California Midterm"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.735,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.255,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1410.99,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:16.341291Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:16.341291Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:38:06.678634Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-high-earner-permanent-tax-proposition","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,97.0,97.0,97.0,97.0,97.0,97.0,97.0,724.25,926.25,1035.0,1035.0,1035.0,1035.0,1040.0,1410.99,1410.99,1410.99],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761533","event_id":"656668","slug":"california-high-earner-permanent-tax-proposition","question":"California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition","group_item_title":null,"description":"Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca_flag_square-133a7ef2ed.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca_flag_square-133a7ef2ed.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T22:30:15.901550Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1410.99,"volume_24hr":1410.99,"prob_24h_change":0.255,"volume_24h_change":1410.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.309167861938477,"normalized_volume":15.148056983947754,"liquidity":3922.909,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:47.109553Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:16.492989Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:38:06.709018Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-high-earner-permanent-tax-proposition/california-high-earner-permanent-tax-proposition","event_title":"California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition","chart_24h":[0.48,0.455,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.185,0.49,0.45,0.395,0.39,0.38,0.395,0.395,0.375,0.54,0.395,0.415,0.58,0.86,0.835,0.815,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.755,0.755,0.75]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/656668","as_of":"2026-07-02T20:07:18.193672Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition\" — top market at 74% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}