{"source":"polymarket","id":"656676","ticker":"california-higher-local-tax-vote-threshold-proposition","slug":"california-higher-local-tax-vote-threshold-proposition","title":"California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition","description":"Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca_flag_square-133a7ef2ed.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca_flag_square-133a7ef2ed.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T22:29:47.238570Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1526.3599999999997,"volume_24hr":1526.36,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.569347381591797,"normalized_volume":11.066020965576172,"liquidity":2064.2946,"open_interest":319.9,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"342","slug":"california","label":"California"},{"id":"456","slug":"referendum","label":"referendum"},{"id":"24","slug":"us-election","label":"USA Election"},{"id":"104045","slug":"california-midterm","label":"California Midterm"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1526.36,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T20:08:31.822126Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T20:08:31.822126Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:38:06.678634Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-higher-local-tax-vote-threshold-proposition","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,614.0,754.0,943.99,1093.98,1093.98,1093.98,1113.98,1169.07,1289.07,1442.18,1490.18,1490.18,1490.18,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36,1526.36],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2761541","event_id":"656676","slug":"california-higher-local-tax-vote-threshold-proposition","question":"California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition","group_item_title":null,"description":"Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca_flag_square-133a7ef2ed.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca_flag_square-133a7ef2ed.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T22:29:47.238570Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1526.3599999999997,"volume_24hr":1526.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":1526.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.68608283996582,"normalized_volume":15.477766990661621,"liquidity":2100.368,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T20:09:01.628028Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T20:08:31.928821Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T22:38:06.709018Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-higher-local-tax-vote-threshold-proposition/california-higher-local-tax-vote-threshold-proposition","event_title":"California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.465,0.46,0.115,0.465,0.47,0.4,0.535,0.575,0.47,0.47,0.475,0.475,0.48,0.41,0.305,0.38,0.26,0.335,0.435,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.415]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/656676","as_of":"2026-07-02T20:16:35.825603Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition\" — top market at 42% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}