{"source":"polymarket","id":"658969","ticker":"dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","slug":"dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","title":"Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ceo-in-jail-by-june-30-Cfe9jU0BXV4-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ceo-in-jail-by-june-30-Cfe9jU0BXV4-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T14:49:58.437132Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1616.1428620000002,"volume_24hr":1616.142862,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.794395446777344,"normalized_volume":11.230073928833008,"liquidity":7220.43889,"open_interest":1473.779562,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0275,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.46749999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1616.142862,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T04:37:30.841129Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T04:37:30.841129Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T14:57:04.675749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","chart_24h":[0.0,42.12,42.12,48.35,105.009532,105.009532,105.009532,105.009532,105.009532,105.009532,384.082862,384.082862,384.082862,384.082862,384.082862,384.082862,384.082862,384.082862,1416.142862,1416.142862,1416.142862,1416.142862,1416.142862,1416.142862,1616.142862,1616.142862],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2769088","event_id":"658969","slug":"dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","question":"Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ceo-in-jail-by-june-30-Cfe9jU0BXV4-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ceo-in-jail-by-june-30-Cfe9jU0BXV4-.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0275,0.9725],"probability":0.0275,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T14:49:58.437132Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1616.1428620000002,"volume_24hr":1616.142862,"prob_24h_change":-0.46749999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1616.142862,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.83226776123047,"normalized_volume":15.708691596984863,"liquidity":7220.82813,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T04:06:21.837381Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T04:05:51.506601Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T14:57:04.686082Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924/dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","event_title":"Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.105,0.07,0.065,0.06,0.055,0.055,0.04,0.041,0.042,0.0425,0.0365,0.0275,0.0285,0.0275]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/658969","as_of":"2026-07-03T04:50:35.062733Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?\" — top market at 3% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}