{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/658969","as_of":"2026-10-24T19:30:05.414847Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?\" — 2% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/658969","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924"},"source":"polymarket","id":"658969","ticker":"dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","slug":"dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","title":"Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ceo-in-jail-by-june-30-Cfe9jU0BXV4-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ceo-in-jail-by-june-30-Cfe9jU0BXV4-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T14:49:58.437132Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4679.765298,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.220857620239258,"liquidity":829.31409,"open_interest":1642.643471,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"105582","slug":"ai-regulation","label":"AI Regulation"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"106216","slug":"ai-safety","label":"AI Safety"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.017,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T19:06:56.283263Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T19:06:56.283263Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T14:57:04.675749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2769088","event_id":"658969","slug":"dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","question":"Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ceo-in-jail-by-june-30-Cfe9jU0BXV4-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ceo-in-jail-by-june-30-Cfe9jU0BXV4-.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.017,0.983],"probability":0.017,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T14:49:58.437132Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":4679.765298,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.954952239990234,"liquidity":1179.07201,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T21:56:39.621880Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T21:56:39.621880Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T14:57:04.686082Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924/dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924","event_title":"Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.0165,0.017]}]}