{"source":"polymarket","id":"659153","ticker":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-july-4-2026","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-july-4-2026","title":"Ethereum Up or Down on July 4?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T16:00:18Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17719.826037000003,"volume_24hr":17716.826037000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.03632926940918,"normalized_volume":19.665790557861328,"liquidity":22231.5325,"open_interest":12386.119463,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"39","slug":"ethereum","label":"Ethereum"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.895,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.395,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":17819.916945000004,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T21:08:27.680529Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T21:08:27.680529Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T16:12:18.019298Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-july-4-2026","chart_24h":[3.0,3.0,3.0,6.0,6.0,6.0,6.0,6.0,6.0,9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0,2250.793332,3777.9233350000004,4075.2444430000005,4956.21957,5200.32957,5367.309848000001,6559.239818000001,6686.283426000001,13147.506571000002],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2769718","event_id":"659153","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-july-4-2026","question":"Ethereum Up or Down on July 4?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.895,0.105],"probability":0.895,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T16:00:18Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17828.916945,"volume_24hr":17825.916945000004,"prob_24h_change":0.395,"volume_24h_change":17819.916945000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.80958557128906,"normalized_volume":27.53365707397461,"liquidity":22802.5779,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T21:09:34.141373Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T21:08:27.837936Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T16:12:18.113213Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-july-4-2026/ethereum-up-or-down-on-july-4-2026","event_title":"Ethereum Up or Down on July 4?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.495,0.535,0.52,0.56,0.585,0.605,0.62,0.715,0.79,0.915]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/659153","as_of":"2026-07-03T21:18:42.820224Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Ethereum Up or Down on July 4?\" — top market at 90% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}