{"source":"polymarket","id":"659394","ticker":"tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542","slug":"tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542","title":"Tour De France 2026: Margin of Victory","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the 2026 Tour De France.\n\nIf the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542-6sK-5mMTrRm9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542-6sK-5mMTrRm9.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:12:24.223033Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5057.6274889999995,"volume_24hr":4287.005238,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.513872146606445,"normalized_volume":14.775094032287598,"liquidity":10958.1647,"open_interest":2884.950021,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"434","slug":"racing","label":"racing"},{"id":"102142","slug":"cycling","label":"Cycling"},{"id":"102140","slug":"tour-de-france","label":"Tour de France"},{"id":"104450","slug":"professional-cycling","label":"Professional Cycling"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Range A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T14:35:21.693819Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T14:35:21.693819Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.280261Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542","chart_24h":[22.42,22.42,22.42,22.42,28.42,28.42,28.42,28.42,44.1,509.15029,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,539.75437,568.839823,568.839823,688.870274,688.870274,688.870274,688.870274,699.070274,709.070274,709.070274,709.070274,3406.770274,3396.350274,4199.394525,4282.005238,4287.005238,4287.005238],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2771016","event_id":"659394","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-7-minutes-20260629213153547","question":"Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?","group_item_title":">7 minutes","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the 2026 Tour De France.\n\nIf the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:12:56.733765Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3301.1388159999997,"volume_24hr":3181.7248249999993,"prob_24h_change":-0.09000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":3181.7248249999993,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.589017868041992,"normalized_volume":18.230253219604492,"liquidity":1748.871,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T14:38:49.651353Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T12:58:19.608529Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.290332Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542/will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-7-minutes-20260629213153547","event_title":"Tour De France 2026: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.535,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.535,0.535,0.545,0.39,0.545,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.56,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.365,0.375,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2771015","event_id":"659394","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-500-659-20260629213153546","question":"Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?","group_item_title":"5:00-6:59","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the 2026 Tour De France.\n\nIf the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:12:38.910659Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":909.212718,"volume_24hr":730.7350000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":730.7350000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.11104393005371,"normalized_volume":12.892483711242676,"liquidity":1995.1936,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T14:38:49.651353Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T13:51:26.016103Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.290332Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542/will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-500-659-20260629213153546","event_title":"Tour De France 2026: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.43,0.465,0.45,0.465,0.46,0.465,0.445,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.205,0.205,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.205,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.365,0.375,0.365,0.365,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2771014","event_id":"659394","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-300-459-20260629213153545","question":"Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?","group_item_title":"3:00-4:59","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the 2026 Tour De France.\n\nIf the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:12:49.064420Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":314.9069350000001,"volume_24hr":118.72226,"prob_24h_change":-0.215,"volume_24h_change":96.30226,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.007149696350098,"normalized_volume":9.198807716369629,"liquidity":1370.131,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T14:38:49.651353Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T12:39:24.146697Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.290332Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542/will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-300-459-20260629213153545","event_title":"Tour De France 2026: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.425,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.23,0.41,0.335,0.315,0.22,0.215,0.22,0.23,0.215,0.21,0.21,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2771013","event_id":"659394","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-100-259-20260629213153544","question":"Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 1:00-2:59?","group_item_title":"1:00-2:59","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the 2026 Tour De France.\n\nIf the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:12:29.902831Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":369.81265800000006,"volume_24hr":158.043153,"prob_24h_change":-0.10700000000000001,"volume_24h_change":158.043153,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.108028411865234,"normalized_volume":9.718185424804688,"liquidity":2145.07537,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T14:38:49.651353Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T14:35:22.382704Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.290332Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542/will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-100-259-20260629213153544","event_title":"Tour De France 2026: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.117,0.1175,0.114,0.112,0.1045,0.0985,0.092,0.0875,0.0815,0.0555,0.0135,0.009,0.0165,0.0095,0.0115,0.019,0.007,0.0205,0.015,0.009,0.007,0.007,0.018,0.01,0.0085,0.0145,0.007,0.017,0.019,0.008,0.0195,0.0115,0.007,0.007,0.019,0.023,0.085,0.0105,0.01,0.012,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2771012","event_id":"659394","slug":"untitled-market-1-20260629211227556","question":"Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be <1 minute?","group_item_title":"<1 minute","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the 2026 Tour De France.\n\nIf the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.008,0.992],"probability":0.008,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:12:24.223033Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":162.556362,"volume_24hr":97.78,"prob_24h_change":-0.332,"volume_24h_change":97.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.297836303710938,"normalized_volume":7.214885711669922,"liquidity":2106.01795,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T14:38:49.651353Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T14:21:01.683875Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.290332Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542/untitled-market-1-20260629211227556","event_title":"Tour De France 2026: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.34,0.055,0.015,0.0105,0.011,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.013,0.012,0.012,0.014,0.0145,0.014,0.0145,0.012,0.0125,0.0075,0.008,0.0095,0.008]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2771017","event_id":"659394","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-range-a-20260629213153548","question":"Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be Range A?","group_item_title":"Range A","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the 2026 Tour De France.\n\nIf the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:12:51.137171Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:24:55.204746Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.290332Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.290332Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542/will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-range-a-20260629213153548","event_title":"Tour De France 2026: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2771018","event_id":"659394","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-other-20260629213153549","question":"Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be Other?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the 2026 Tour De France.\n\nIf the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T17:13:03.949401Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:24:55.204746Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.290332Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T17:28:47.290332Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542/will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-end-of-the-2026-tour-de-france-be-other-20260629213153549","event_title":"Tour De France 2026: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/659394","as_of":"2026-07-22T14:53:22.267320Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Tour De France 2026: Margin of Victory\" — top market at 44% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}