{"source":"polymarket","id":"659681","ticker":"who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773","slug":"who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773","title":"Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). \n\nIf a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\".\n\nIf no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773-iexfVh9KmPpe.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773-iexfVh9KmPpe.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:02:14.571612Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":427.4204,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"286","slug":"celebrities","label":"Celebrities"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Mac Gargan","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T10:26:35.726742Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T10:26:35.726742Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:07:43.131531Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2772271","event_id":"659681","slug":"will-mac-gargan-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526779","question":"Will Mac Gargan die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","group_item_title":"Mac Gargan","description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). \n\nIf a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\".\n\nIf no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:02:34.245990Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":43.6598,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T09:13:15.373632Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T09:12:49.090885Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:07:43.197152Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773/will-mac-gargan-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526779","event_title":"Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.52,0.515,0.52]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2772272","event_id":"659681","slug":"will-lonnie-lincoln-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526780","question":"Will Lonnie Lincoln die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","group_item_title":"Lonnie Lincoln","description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). \n\nIf a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\".\n\nIf no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:02:37.284797Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":43.6598,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T10:43:22.474406Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T10:42:54.207330Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:07:43.197152Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773/will-lonnie-lincoln-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526780","event_title":"Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.52,0.515,0.515,0.52]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2772268","event_id":"659681","slug":"will-ned-leeds-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526776","question":"Will Ned Leeds die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","group_item_title":"Ned Leeds","description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). \n\nIf a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\".\n\nIf no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:02:14.571612Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":22.26,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T01:30:21.866606Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T01:29:56.432903Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:07:43.197152Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773/will-ned-leeds-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526776","event_title":"Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.495]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2772267","event_id":"659681","slug":"will-michelle-mj-jones-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526775","question":"Will Michelle \"MJ\" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","group_item_title":"Michelle \"MJ\" Jones","description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). \n\nIf a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\".\n\nIf no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.93,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:02:25.780516Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":26.5448,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T20:24:16.395201Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T20:24:07.239718Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:07:43.197152Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773/will-michelle-mj-jones-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526775","event_title":"Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.48,0.48,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2772266","event_id":"659681","slug":"will-peter-parker-tom-holland-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526774","question":"Will Peter Parker (Tom Holland) die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","group_item_title":"Peter Parker (Tom Holland)","description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). \n\nIf a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\".\n\nIf no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.78,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:02:48.456364Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.09000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":83.01,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T09:45:24.091296Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T09:44:49.651532Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:07:43.197152Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773/will-peter-parker-tom-holland-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526774","event_title":"Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.455,0.455,0.43,0.435,0.43,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2772269","event_id":"659681","slug":"will-frank-castle-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526777","question":"Will Frank Castle die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","group_item_title":"Frank Castle","description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). \n\nIf a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\".\n\nIf no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:02:25.509761Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":97.86,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T09:45:24.091296Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T09:44:49.651532Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:07:43.197152Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773/will-frank-castle-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526777","event_title":"Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.385,0.38,0.38,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2772270","event_id":"659681","slug":"will-bruce-banner-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526778","question":"Will Bruce Banner die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","group_item_title":"Bruce Banner","description":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). \n\nIf a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in the official \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\".\n\nIf no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:02:29.357830Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":101.561,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T09:13:15.373632Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T09:12:49.090885Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:07:43.197152Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526773/will-bruce-banner-die-in-spider-man-brand-new-day-20260702162526778","event_title":"Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.455,0.455,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.375]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/659681","as_of":"2026-07-03T11:57:53.848902Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?\" — top market at 52% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}