{"source":"polymarket","id":"659879","ticker":"sao-tome-presidential-election-first-round-winner-20260702151121341","slug":"sao-tome-presidential-election-first-round-winner-20260702151121341","title":"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner","description":"First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/saotome-8eb3540ef0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/saotome-8eb3540ef0.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:36:26.609549Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4838.550704,"volume_24hr":4838.550704,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.1082820892334,"normalized_volume":14.803668022155762,"liquidity":47733.16159,"open_interest":3202.889348,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"105466","slug":"sao-tome","label":"São Tomé"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105467","slug":"sao-tome-and-principe","label":"São Tomé and Príncipe"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Carlos Vila Nova","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.31,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1570.0180710000002,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:07.745685Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:07.745685Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:42.592837Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sao-tome-presidential-election-first-round-winner-20260702151121341","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,29.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,69.99,82.0102,82.0102,82.0102,82.0102,82.0102,84.0302,86.204112,3139.668277,3249.8382770000003,3513.8382770000003,3513.8382770000003,3523.8382770000003,3523.8382770000003,3523.8382770000003],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773326","event_id":"659879","slug":"will-carlos-vila-nova-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121342","question":"Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?","group_item_title":"Carlos Vila Nova","description":"First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carlops-49d007b7dd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carlops-49d007b7dd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:36:26.609549Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1570.018071,"volume_24hr":1570.0180710000002,"prob_24h_change":0.31,"volume_24h_change":1570.0180710000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.677223205566406,"normalized_volume":15.577923774719238,"liquidity":6210.5956,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["São Tomé and Príncipe"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:07:05.071111Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:07.844845Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:42.664756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sao-tome-presidential-election-first-round-winner-20260702151121341/will-carlos-vila-nova-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121342","event_title":"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.45,0.445,0.455,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.445,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.755,0.755,0.755,0.685]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773327","event_id":"659879","slug":"will-nito-abreu-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121343","question":"Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?","group_item_title":"Nito Abreu","description":"First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nito-abreu-win-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260623195739462-PvRnnq-UxFVL.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nito-abreu-win-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260623195739462-PvRnnq-UxFVL.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:36:34.733199Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2828.433252,"volume_24hr":2828.433252,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":2828.433252,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.94917106628418,"normalized_volume":18.168235778808594,"liquidity":17952.5925,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["São Tomé and Príncipe"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:07:05.071111Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:07.844845Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:42.664756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sao-tome-presidential-election-first-round-winner-20260702151121341/will-nito-abreu-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121343","event_title":"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.435,0.435,0.445,0.44,0.415,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.41,0.445,0.445,0.435,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.45,0.155,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773329","event_id":"659879","slug":"will-jorge-bom-jesus-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121345","question":"Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?","group_item_title":"Jorge Bom Jesus","description":"First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jorge-bom-jesus-win-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260623195739464-F_SihpDcVoD9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jorge-bom-jesus-win-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260623195739464-F_SihpDcVoD9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:36:35.491951Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":87.0,"volume_24hr":87.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":87.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.2829813957214355,"normalized_volume":5.765738487243652,"liquidity":7818.58,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["São Tomé and Príncipe"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:37.102998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:07.844845Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:42.664756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sao-tome-presidential-election-first-round-winner-20260702151121341/will-jorge-bom-jesus-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121345","event_title":"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.45,0.435,0.46,0.44,0.455,0.44,0.42,0.405,0.32,0.085,0.08,0.085,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773328","event_id":"659879","slug":"will-elsa-pinto-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121344","question":"Will Elsa Pinto win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?","group_item_title":"Elsa Pinto","description":"First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/else-b25545b37e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/else-b25545b37e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.017,0.983],"probability":0.017,"spread":0.024,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:36:34.469289Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":181.9941,"volume_24hr":181.9941,"prob_24h_change":-0.423,"volume_24h_change":181.9941,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.859481811523438,"normalized_volume":7.805483818054199,"liquidity":7560.4207,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["São Tomé and Príncipe"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:37.102998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:07.844845Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:42.664756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sao-tome-presidential-election-first-round-winner-20260702151121341/will-elsa-pinto-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121344","event_title":"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.445,0.43,0.415,0.43,0.41,0.415,0.405,0.42,0.43,0.375,0.045,0.0345,0.0345,0.035,0.186,0.0355,0.0635,0.0195,0.02,0.015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773330","event_id":"659879","slug":"will-nino-monteiro-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121346","question":"Will Nino Monteiro win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?","group_item_title":"Nino Monteiro","description":"First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nini-79ddaa7ed2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nini-79ddaa7ed2.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.013,0.987],"probability":0.013,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:36:37.303100Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":171.10528100000002,"volume_24hr":171.10528100000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.427,"volume_24h_change":171.10528100000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.628634452819824,"normalized_volume":7.62272834777832,"liquidity":8008.55516,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["São Tomé and Príncipe"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:07:05.071111Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:07.844845Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:42.664756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sao-tome-presidential-election-first-round-winner-20260702151121341/will-nino-monteiro-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121346","event_title":"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.45,0.435,0.415,0.41,0.42,0.415,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.415,0.42,0.425,0.42,0.425,0.045,0.0395,0.0295,0.02,0.03,0.0255,0.015,0.0205,0.02]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773357","event_id":"659879","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121373","question":"Will someone else win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T19:39:38.205830Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["São Tomé and Príncipe"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T20:24:39.602503Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:42.664756Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T19:53:42.664756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sao-tome-presidential-election-first-round-winner-20260702151121341/will-someone-else-win-the-greatest-number-of-valid-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-sao-tome-and-principe-presidential-elections-20260702151121373","event_title":"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/659879","as_of":"2026-07-03T14:15:21.597111Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner\" — top market at 18% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}