{"source":"polymarket","id":"659973","ticker":"how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469","slug":"how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469","title":"How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.\n\nAll Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. \n\nVacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected. If a member-elect or governor changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected. \n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party will be attributed to that party. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kam-RFdcHD7F2vyn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kam-RFdcHD7F2vyn.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T21:24:46.436118Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27883.087514000003,"volume_24hr":10.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.319749116897583,"normalized_volume":23.836637496948242,"liquidity":62905.42401,"open_interest":2593.395492,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"176","slug":"us-elections","label":"depec us elections"},{"id":"100214","slug":"governor","label":"Governor Races"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"2","top_outcome_probability":0.42,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-116.29,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:03:46.593621Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:03:46.593621Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:40:43.862216Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469","chart_24h":[964.06,964.06,964.06,964.06,964.06,964.06,964.06,964.06,964.06,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773662","event_id":"659973","slug":"will-republicans-win-2-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603472","question":"Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?","group_item_title":"2","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.\n\nAll Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. \n\nVacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected. If a member-elect or governor changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected. \n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party will be attributed to that party. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T21:25:37.094027Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9390.589825000001,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-116.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.322218418121338,"normalized_volume":24.55046272277832,"liquidity":2212.3767,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:03:47.540063Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:03:47.540063Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:40:43.882030Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469/will-republicans-win-2-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603472","event_title":"How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.415,0.41,0.41,0.415,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.425,0.42,0.42,0.425,0.425,0.42,0.425,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773663","event_id":"659973","slug":"will-republicans-win-3-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603473","question":"Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?","group_item_title":"3","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.\n\nAll Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. \n\nVacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected. If a member-elect or governor changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected. \n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party will be attributed to that party. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.332,0.668],"probability":0.332,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T21:25:39.041085Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4911.998149,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009500000000000008,"volume_24h_change":-126.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.195772171020508,"liquidity":24628.18522,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:03:47.540063Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:03:47.540063Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:40:43.882030Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469/will-republicans-win-3-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603473","event_title":"How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.3415,0.3375,0.3375,0.342,0.3415,0.337,0.342,0.342,0.342,0.342,0.342,0.3415,0.342,0.342,0.342,0.342,0.3325,0.332,0.3325,0.3325,0.332,0.3325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773664","event_id":"659973","slug":"will-republicans-win-4-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603474","question":"Will Republicans win 4 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?","group_item_title":"4","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.\n\nAll Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. \n\nVacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected. If a member-elect or governor changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected. \n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party will be attributed to that party. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0725,0.9275],"probability":0.0725,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T21:25:40.123466Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2353.0513130000004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":-147.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.685091018676758,"liquidity":551.11608,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:46:27.084363Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:46:27.084363Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:40:43.882030Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469/will-republicans-win-4-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603474","event_title":"How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.0745,0.075,0.0745,0.0725]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773661","event_id":"659973","slug":"will-republicans-win-1-senate-and-governor-election-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603471","question":"Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?","group_item_title":"1","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.\n\nAll Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. \n\nVacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected. If a member-elect or governor changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected. \n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party will be attributed to that party. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0635,0.9365],"probability":0.0635,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T21:25:00.564227Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3258.4179399999994,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.003500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":-185.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.198640823364258,"liquidity":8934.23539,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T22:31:36.402231Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T22:31:36.402231Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:40:43.882030Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469/will-republicans-win-1-senate-and-governor-election-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603471","event_title":"How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.067,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.067,0.0665,0.064,0.0635]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773660","event_id":"659973","slug":"will-republicans-win-0-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603470","question":"Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?","group_item_title":"0","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.\n\nAll Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. \n\nVacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected. If a member-elect or governor changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected. \n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party will be attributed to that party. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0555,0.9445],"probability":0.0555,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T21:24:46.436118Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3881.903564,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-126.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.038461685180664,"liquidity":9091.68993,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T14:40:13.050417Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T14:40:13.050417Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:40:43.882030Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469/will-republicans-win-0-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603470","event_title":"How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.0555,0.0555,0.0555,0.0555,0.0555,0.0555,0.056,0.056,0.0555,0.056,0.0555]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773666","event_id":"659973","slug":"will-republicans-win-6-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603476","question":"Will Republicans win 6 or more Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?","group_item_title":"6+","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.\n\nAll Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. \n\nVacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected. If a member-elect or governor changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected. \n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party will be attributed to that party. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.043,0.957],"probability":0.043,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T21:27:13.572437Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1649.625323,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":-126.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.1048526763916,"liquidity":8659.40475,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:46:27.084363Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:46:27.084363Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:40:43.882030Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469/will-republicans-win-6-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603476","event_title":"How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.043]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2773665","event_id":"659973","slug":"will-republicans-win-5-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603475","question":"Will Republicans win 5 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?","group_item_title":"5","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.\n\nAll Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. \n\nVacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected. If a member-elect or governor changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected. \n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party will be attributed to that party. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T21:27:11.569438Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2437.5014,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-126.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.846025466918945,"liquidity":8762.54935,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T09:08:05.707193Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T09:08:05.707193Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:40:43.882030Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469/will-republicans-win-5-senate-and-governor-elections-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603475","event_title":"How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.036,0.036,0.036,0.036,0.036,0.036]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/659973","as_of":"2026-09-09T02:21:04.895075Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?\" — top market at 42% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}