{"source":"polymarket","id":"662897","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-5-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-5-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T16:00:14Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29796.168429999994,"volume_24hr":29796.16843,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.14493179321289,"normalized_volume":21.774866104125977,"liquidity":25308.9469,"open_interest":18176.299607,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.695,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19499999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":29793.16843,"updated_at":"2026-07-04T19:41:20.520666Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T19:41:20.520666Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T16:12:07.911986Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-5-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,3.0,93.0,93.0,93.0,96.960783,96.960783,96.960783,96.960783,96.960783,96.960783,296.960783,346.960783,346.960783,352.560783,557.542006,9456.948902,10924.44021,12027.402693,20440.60207,21824.51656,25575.874761000003,29796.16843],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2784625","event_id":"662897","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-5-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.695,0.305],"probability":0.695,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T16:00:14Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29796.168429999994,"volume_24hr":29796.16843,"prob_24h_change":0.19499999999999995,"volume_24h_change":29793.16843,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.327091217041016,"normalized_volume":30.45389175415039,"liquidity":30703.9465,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T19:42:15.478714Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T19:41:20.676485Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T16:12:08.003453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-5-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-5-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.5,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.485,0.505,0.515,0.715,0.625,0.665,0.695]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/662897","as_of":"2026-07-04T19:52:02.189725Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5?\" — top market at 70% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}