{"source":"polymarket","id":"666463","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-6-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-6-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 6 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 6 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15699.104707000013,"volume_24hr":15689.947846000008,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.828052520751953,"normalized_volume":19.13001823425293,"liquidity":33901.6495,"open_interest":11761.58258,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.585,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":15696.830202000008,"updated_at":"2026-07-05T21:40:55.357833Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-05T21:40:55.357833Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T16:15:52.222490Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-6-2026","chart_24h":[13.117643999999999,13.117643999999999,13.117643999999999,13.117643999999999,13.117643999999999,13.117643999999999,13.117643999999999,13.117643999999999,22.267643999999997,62.267644,62.267644,62.267644,102.26764399999999,102.26764399999999,102.26764399999999,102.26764399999999,102.26764399999999,102.26764399999999,102.26764399999999,102.26764399999999,113.679407,113.679407,113.679407,5768.956663000001,7279.294168,7694.166834000001,9956.910295000001,10172.160017000004,11195.045720000004,11560.643193000005,13140.221927000004,14197.948882000006,14279.775547000007,15689.947846000008],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2795845","event_id":"666463","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-6-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 6 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 6 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.585,0.415],"probability":0.585,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15719.104707000013,"volume_24hr":15709.947846000008,"prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":15696.830202000008,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.78500747680664,"normalized_volume":26.704998016357422,"liquidity":32961.5603,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-05T21:42:02.216096Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-05T21:40:55.512343Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T16:15:52.313795Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-6-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-6-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.465,0.495,0.485,0.475,0.495,0.535,0.515,0.525,0.495,0.585]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/666463","as_of":"2026-07-05T21:52:31.307310Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?\" — top market at 58% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}