{"source":"polymarket","id":"667565","ticker":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18","title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Kevin Holland\" if Kevin Holland is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Jacobe Smith\" if Jacobe Smith is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:03:50.315984Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9702.890922,"volume_24hr":9251.86518,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.522371292114258,"normalized_volume":17.18750762939453,"liquidity":34388.0235,"open_interest":9292.596185,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Holland to win by KO/TKO?","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.14,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T22:03:01.110832Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:03:01.110832Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.440557Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18","chart_24h":[451.025742,451.025742,451.025742,451.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,436.025742,4.92,2.92,2.0,517.646028,6001.6121,6020.6121,6177.442287,6177.442287,6177.442287,6244.442287,7112.605922,9186.86518,9186.86518,9251.86518,9251.86518],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2799878","event_id":"667565","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18","question":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","group_item_title":"Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith","description":"This market will resolve to \"Kevin Holland\" if Kevin Holland is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Jacobe Smith\" if Jacobe Smith is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Kevin Holland","Jacobe Smith"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:03:50.315984Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9702.890922,"volume_24hr":9251.86518,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":8800.839438,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.386449813842773,"normalized_volume":23.63885498046875,"liquidity":16617.3268,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T21:07:17.667692Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T21:05:58.951036Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.472537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.415,0.415,0.415,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.495,0.495,0.485,0.485,0.48,0.485,0.49,0.465,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2799885","event_id":"667565","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-holland-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Kevin Holland win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Holland to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kevin Holland defeats Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.6,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:08:10.996477Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1678.2768,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:52:15.720275Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T20:51:12.443735Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.472537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-holland-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.51,0.505,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.49,0.64,0.635,0.65,0.53,0.625,0.65]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2799887","event_id":"667565","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-smith-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Jacobe Smith win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Smith to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jacobe Smith defeats Kevin Holland at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.645,0.355],"probability":0.645,"spread":0.61,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:16:25.473223Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1722.217,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:52:15.720275Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T20:51:12.443735Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.472537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-smith-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.49,0.63,0.625,0.645,0.525,0.615,0.645]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2799890","event_id":"667565","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Kevin Holland and Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.645,0.355],"probability":0.645,"spread":0.61,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:09:29.971055Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1689.5236,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:52:15.720275Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T20:51:12.443735Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.472537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-win-by-submission","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.49,0.63,0.625,0.625,0.645,0.525,0.625,0.645]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2799883","event_id":"667565","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Kevin Holland and Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.635,0.365],"probability":0.635,"spread":0.63,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:15:21.736838Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.135,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1845.3867,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:52:15.720275Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T20:51:12.443735Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.472537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.505,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.565,0.62,0.635,0.515,0.615,0.635]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2799895","event_id":"667565","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Kevin Holland and Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:16:28.599835Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1613.4767,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T22:04:19.416411Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:03:01.759333Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.472537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-totals-2pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.485,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.595,0.585,0.5,0.58,0.575,0.57,0.58]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2799892","event_id":"667565","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Kevin Holland and Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.525,0.475],"probability":0.525,"spread":0.55,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:06:36.322478Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":3020.8982,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:36:46.638195Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T20:35:33.932572Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.472537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-totals-0pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.525,0.5,0.52,0.525]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2799894","event_id":"667565","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Kevin Holland and Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:16:40.935858Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1198.1876,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T19:37:00.359512Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T19:35:45.085399Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.472537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-totals-1pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.49,0.485,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2799879","event_id":"667565","slug":"ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Kevin Holland and Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.63,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T22:16:30.983609Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.135,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1741.8177,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:36:46.638195Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T20:35:33.932572Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T22:32:10.472537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18-go-the-distance","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.49,0.5,0.49,0.415,0.37,0.355,0.48,0.37,0.355]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/667565","as_of":"2026-07-09T22:09:59.567610Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)\" — top market at 48% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}