{"source":"polymarket","id":"670706","ticker":"core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774","slug":"core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774","title":"Core PCE MoM - June 2026","description":"This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/january-inflation-annual-vp5qkgK2R7Et.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/january-inflation-annual-vp5qkgK2R7Et.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-05T19:57:55.697936Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1648.6007949999998,"volume_24hr":1648.600795,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.054630279541016,"normalized_volume":11.237757682800293,"liquidity":7413.22619,"open_interest":247.704057,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"105533","slug":"pce","label":"PCE"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"105534","slug":"core-pce","label":"Core PCE"},{"id":"702","slug":"inflation","label":"Inflation"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"0.3%","top_outcome_probability":0.3525,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.14750000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":268.500154,"updated_at":"2026-07-06T09:04:03.514042Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T09:04:03.514042Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T20:01:31.520408Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774","chart_24h":[0.0,280.0,280.0,691.4343,753.9543,772.9543,772.9543,772.9543,772.9543,833.2143,833.2143,847.380965,848.769852,1136.310795,1171.590795,1294.590795,1294.590795,1364.590795,1518.070795,1518.070795,1538.070795,1648.600795],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2810546","event_id":"670706","slug":"will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt3-in-june-20260705183628152","question":"Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?","group_item_title":"0.3%","description":"This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3525,0.6475],"probability":0.3525,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-05T19:58:12.138507Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":268.500154,"volume_24hr":268.500154,"prob_24h_change":-0.14750000000000002,"volume_24h_change":268.500154,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.520137786865234,"normalized_volume":8.917455673217773,"liquidity":1745.38623,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T08:50:39.793998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T08:50:06.864556Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T20:01:31.556894Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774/will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt3-in-june-20260705183628152","event_title":"Core PCE MoM - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.385,0.035,0.226,0.226,0.228,0.236,0.229,0.236,0.238,0.0475,0.1745,0.3785,0.3645,0.3655,0.359,0.3585,0.358,0.353,0.3525]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2810545","event_id":"670706","slug":"will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt2-in-june-20260705183628151","question":"Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?","group_item_title":"0.2%","description":"This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-05T19:58:11.124388Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":400.99515,"volume_24hr":400.99515,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":400.99515,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.077157020568848,"normalized_volume":10.237272262573242,"liquidity":840.062,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T08:22:20.381120Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T08:21:48.032177Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T20:01:31.556894Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774/will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt2-in-june-20260705183628151","event_title":"Core PCE MoM - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.37,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.205,0.215,0.205,0.215,0.235,0.23,0.23,0.315,0.24,0.24,0.245,0.25,0.235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2810548","event_id":"670706","slug":"will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt5-in-june-20260705183628154","question":"Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% in June?","group_item_title":"0.5%","description":"This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1285,0.8715],"probability":0.1285,"spread":0.213,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-05T19:58:21.291629Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":133.203332,"volume_24hr":133.203332,"prob_24h_change":-0.3715,"volume_24h_change":133.203332,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.062239646911621,"normalized_volume":6.8340044021606445,"liquidity":875.57643,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T09:04:20.155895Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T09:04:03.585382Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T20:01:31.556894Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774/will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt5-in-june-20260705183628154","event_title":"Core PCE MoM - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.485,0.375,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.045,0.415,0.05,0.38,0.3195,0.178,0.225,0.1985,0.172,0.146,0.1445,0.1505,0.1285]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2810543","event_id":"670706","slug":"will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt0-or-less-in-june-20260705183628149","question":"Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% or less in June?","group_item_title":"≤0.0%","description":"This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-05T19:57:55.697936Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":193.10215899999997,"volume_24hr":193.102159,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":193.102159,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.322505950927734,"normalized_volume":7.902276039123535,"liquidity":758.5678,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T08:50:39.793998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T08:50:06.864556Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T20:01:31.556894Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774/will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt0-or-less-in-june-20260705183628149","event_title":"Core PCE MoM - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.25,0.48,0.48,0.375,0.39,0.385,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.15,0.11,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2810544","event_id":"670706","slug":"will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt1-in-june-20260705183628150","question":"Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in June?","group_item_title":"0.1%","description":"This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.123,0.877],"probability":0.123,"spread":0.222,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-05T19:58:02.925580Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":287.31999999999994,"volume_24hr":287.32,"prob_24h_change":-0.377,"volume_24h_change":287.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.775442123413086,"normalized_volume":9.133865356445312,"liquidity":881.38377,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T09:04:20.155895Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T09:04:03.585382Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T20:01:31.556894Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774/will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt1-in-june-20260705183628150","event_title":"Core PCE MoM - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.465,0.45,0.445,0.44,0.03,0.3495,0.2495,0.1855,0.1955,0.205,0.15,0.127,0.125,0.123]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2810549","event_id":"670706","slug":"will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt6-or-more-in-june-20260705183628155","question":"Will Core PCE MoM be 0.6% or more in June?","group_item_title":"0.6%+","description":"This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-05T19:58:26.558958Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":143.0,"volume_24hr":143.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.425,"volume_24h_change":143.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.295792579650879,"normalized_volume":7.031976222991943,"liquidity":787.2987,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T06:44:56.366099Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T06:44:39.073347Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T20:01:31.556894Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774/will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt6-or-more-in-june-20260705183628155","event_title":"Core PCE MoM - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.075,0.065,0.07,0.085,0.09,0.075,0.07,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2810547","event_id":"670706","slug":"will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt4-in-june-20260705183628153","question":"Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in June?","group_item_title":"0.4%","description":"This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.\n\nIf the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-05T19:58:25.315975Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":222.48000000000002,"volume_24hr":222.48000000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.43,"volume_24h_change":222.48000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.827960014343262,"normalized_volume":8.330727577209473,"liquidity":878.0657,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T08:50:39.793998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T08:50:06.864556Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T20:01:31.556894Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774/will-core-pce-mom-be-0pt4-in-june-20260705183628153","event_title":"Core PCE MoM - June 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.37,0.365,0.37,0.355,0.04,0.27,0.11,0.085,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/670706","as_of":"2026-07-06T09:12:11.251996Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Core PCE MoM - June 2026\" — top market at 24% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}