{"source":"polymarket","id":"672900","ticker":"spx-opens-up-or-down-on-july-7-2026","slug":"spx-opens-up-or-down-on-july-7-2026","title":"S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 7?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 7 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 7 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.\n\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\n\nIf SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nUS: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks\nEMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea\nASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T12:00:19Z","end_date":"2026-07-07T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6914.556659,"volume_24hr":6914.556659,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.369646072387695,"normalized_volume":15.988057136535645,"liquidity":671.6981,"open_interest":2694.677096,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"102683","slug":"spx","label":"SPX"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"102682","slug":"indicies","label":"Indicies"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.23,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.275,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6914.556659,"updated_at":"2026-07-07T04:08:51.342137Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T04:08:51.342137Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T12:08:38.945314Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spx-opens-up-or-down-on-july-7-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,200.0,212.997222,212.997222,212.997222,836.299546,983.538198,1744.7160210000002,1786.9218210000001,2504.8035630000004,2998.0076430000004,3038.0076430000004,4631.721989000001,6015.359517,6651.481245,6914.556659],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2816160","event_id":"672900","slug":"spx-opens-up-or-down-on-july-7-2026","question":"S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 7?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 7 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 7 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.\n\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\n\nIf SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nUS: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks\nEMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea\nASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T12:00:19Z","end_date":"2026-07-07T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6914.556659,"volume_24hr":6914.556659,"prob_24h_change":-0.275,"volume_24h_change":6914.556659,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.88490867614746,"normalized_volume":22.178054809570312,"liquidity":1387.1562,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T04:09:41.186698Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T04:08:51.490727Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T12:08:38.994101Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spx-opens-up-or-down-on-july-7-2026/spx-opens-up-or-down-on-july-7-2026","event_title":"S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 7?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.51,0.515,0.515,0.52,0.51,0.515,0.52,0.525,0.535,0.53,0.685,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.545,0.52,0.435,0.43,0.395,0.455,0.38,0.33,0.23]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/672900","as_of":"2026-07-07T04:23:45.547554Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 7?\" — top market at 23% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}