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The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:07:17.748155Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":203.42857,"volume_24hr":203.42857,"prob_24h_change":-0.32,"volume_24h_change":203.42857,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.09656047821045,"normalized_volume":8.030238151550293,"liquidity":13360.1164,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T02:29:47.508120Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T02:29:37.809280Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:10:45.851678Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-house-election-winner-by-individual-20260630172946503/will-eric-jones-win-the-ca-04-house-seat-20260630172947750","event_title":"CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.135,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822665","event_id":"674583","slug":"will-another-candidate-win-the-ca-04-house-seat-20260702143531081","question":"Will another candidate win the CA-04 House seat?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:08:00.396296Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:43.640318Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T22:10:45.851678Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:10:45.851678Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-house-election-winner-by-individual-20260630172946503/will-another-candidate-win-the-ca-04-house-seat-20260702143531081","event_title":"CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/674583","as_of":"2026-07-07T03:45:19.889809Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)\" — top market at 83% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}