{"source":"polymarket","id":"674588","ticker":"m0-02-republican-primary-winner-20260706194255478","slug":"m0-02-republican-primary-winner-20260706194255478","title":"M0-02 Republican Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.987,0.013],"probability":0.987,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:09:38.970947Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4152.421990000003,"volume_24hr":4152.421990000003,"prob_24h_change":0.532,"volume_24h_change":4152.421990000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.761701583862305,"normalized_volume":19.693632125854492,"liquidity":18555.35887,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T09:29:55.196844Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T09:29:05.346338Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/m0-02-republican-primary-winner-20260706194255478/will-ann-wagner-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256274","event_title":"M0-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.455,0.93,0.93,0.935,0.935,0.94,0.9795,0.984,0.985,0.9875,0.987,0.987]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822682","event_id":"674588","slug":"will-elizabeth-sparks-holmes-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256271","question":"Will Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes be the MO-02 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:10:38.590383Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":259.14,"volume_24hr":259.14,"prob_24h_change":-0.4395,"volume_24h_change":259.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.032010078430176,"normalized_volume":8.7740478515625,"liquidity":13751.87906,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T08:02:50.476559Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T08:02:34.990635Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/m0-02-republican-primary-winner-20260706194255478/will-elizabeth-sparks-holmes-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256271","event_title":"M0-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.0305,0.0305,0.03,0.0305,0.0395,0.0415,0.0325,0.033,0.0075,0.0075,0.007,0.005,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822683","event_id":"674588","slug":"will-peter-pfeifer-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256272","question":"Will Peter Pfeifer be the MO-02 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Peter Pfeifer","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:09:24.883815Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":259.159,"volume_24hr":259.159,"prob_24h_change":-0.4395,"volume_24h_change":259.159,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.032299995422363,"normalized_volume":8.774277687072754,"liquidity":12870.43755,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T08:16:54.812930Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T08:16:40.035508Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/m0-02-republican-primary-winner-20260706194255478/will-peter-pfeifer-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256272","event_title":"M0-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.4445,0.447,0.447,0.2475,0.037,0.0365,0.037,0.0325,0.0295,0.0115,0.009,0.0105,0.006,0.007,0.0065,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822684","event_id":"674588","slug":"will-ryan-sheridan-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256273","question":"Will Ryan Sheridan be the MO-02 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Ryan Sheridan","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:09:36.881083Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":259.15646100000004,"volume_24hr":259.15646100000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.4395,"volume_24h_change":259.15646100000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.03226089477539,"normalized_volume":8.774247169494629,"liquidity":11977.81712,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T07:34:21.266032Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T07:33:35.090890Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/m0-02-republican-primary-winner-20260706194255478/will-ryan-sheridan-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256273","event_title":"M0-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.0305,0.0315,0.0305,0.0305,0.03,0.0395,0.042,0.033,0.036,0.0075,0.0075,0.0045,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822686","event_id":"674588","slug":"will-brandon-wilkinson-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256275","question":"Will Brandon Wilkinson be the MO-02 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Brandon Wilkinson","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:09:43.086823Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":259.14757099999997,"volume_24hr":259.147571,"prob_24h_change":-0.4395,"volume_24h_change":259.147571,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.032125473022461,"normalized_volume":8.774139404296875,"liquidity":11793.19172,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T07:34:21.266032Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T07:33:35.090890Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/m0-02-republican-primary-winner-20260706194255478/will-brandon-wilkinson-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256275","event_title":"M0-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.4445,0.4515,0.4535,0.2,0.0365,0.0225,0.0225,0.022,0.0115,0.0195,0.0105,0.0055,0.005,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822690","event_id":"674588","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256279","question":"Will another candidate be the MO-02 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:10:00.022955Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T22:57:28.092586Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/m0-02-republican-primary-winner-20260706194255478/will-another-candidate-be-the-mo-02-republican-nominee-20260706194256279","event_title":"M0-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/674588","as_of":"2026-07-07T09:51:42.030535Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"M0-02 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 99% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}