{"source":"polymarket","id":"674592","ticker":"va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031","slug":"va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031","title":"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/va-02-democratic-primary-winner-6x_m1Fj6MOGr.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/va-02-democratic-primary-winner-6x_m1Fj6MOGr.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:13:08.781828Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5647.743700000001,"volume_24hr":5647.7437,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.307106018066406,"normalized_volume":14.049982070922852,"liquidity":46449.52458,"open_interest":1684.85984,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"24","slug":"us-election","label":"USA Election"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"103980","slug":"virginia-primary","label":"Virginia Primary"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"105189","slug":"august-4-primaries","label":"August 4 Primaries"},{"id":"936","slug":"democratic-primary","label":"Democratic Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Shannon Taylor","top_outcome_probability":0.815,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15499999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3040.965589,"updated_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.279648Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.279648Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.363098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,120.753826,120.753826,168.061462,168.061462,168.061462,168.061462,168.061462,168.061462,298.061462,333.131462,333.131462,333.131462,333.131462,333.131462,729.121462,962.771462,1223.201462,1503.3514619999999,2001.0714619999999,2163.171462,2517.173225],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822735","event_id":"674592","slug":"will-shannon-taylor-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158898","question":"Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Shannon Taylor","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.815,0.185],"probability":0.815,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:13:55.178101Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4202.316064000001,"volume_24hr":4202.316064,"prob_24h_change":0.15499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":3040.965589,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.945171356201172,"normalized_volume":18.248897552490234,"liquidity":12946.1843,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.527163Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.527163Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031/will-shannon-taylor-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158898","event_title":"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.51,0.63,0.635,0.67,0.665,0.665,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.855,0.82,0.84,0.835,0.835,0.835,0.835]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822731","event_id":"674592","slug":"will-elizabeth-dempsey-beggs-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158894","question":"Will Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:16:59.608729Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":404.42,"volume_24hr":404.41999999999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.335,"volume_24h_change":344.41999999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.185630798339844,"normalized_volume":9.691553115844727,"liquidity":3507.3525,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.527163Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.527163Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031/will-elizabeth-dempsey-beggs-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158894","event_title":"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.445,0.455,0.445,0.425,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.125,0.1,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822733","event_id":"674592","slug":"will-jason-knapp-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158896","question":"Will Jason Knapp be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Jason Knapp","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:13:08.781828Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":161.31999999999996,"volume_24hr":161.31999999999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":161.31999999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.24009895324707,"normalized_volume":7.348894119262695,"liquidity":1498.1743,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T11:53:58.697612Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T11:53:23.411751Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031/will-jason-knapp-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158896","event_title":"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.435,0.43,0.42,0.405,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.075,0.1,0.08,0.095,0.06,0.085,0.075,0.065,0.06,0.055,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822730","event_id":"674592","slug":"will-salaam-bhatti-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158893","question":"Will Salaam Bhatti be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Salaam Bhatti","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0365,0.9635],"probability":0.0365,"spread":0.051,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:21:17.955569Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":388.42,"volume_24hr":388.42,"prob_24h_change":-0.4185,"volume_24h_change":156.82,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.138297080993652,"normalized_volume":7.267928123474121,"liquidity":1328.5181,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.527163Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.527163Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031/will-salaam-bhatti-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158893","event_title":"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.435,0.425,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.425,0.125,0.065,0.4,0.235,0.4,0.12,0.225,0.38,0.205,0.023,0.0125,0.017,0.0205,0.017]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822732","event_id":"674592","slug":"will-tim-cywinski-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158895","question":"Will Tim Cywinski be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Tim Cywinski","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0065,0.9935],"probability":0.0065,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:14:28.515651Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":151.32000000000002,"volume_24hr":151.32,"prob_24h_change":-0.4335,"volume_24h_change":151.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.010661125183105,"normalized_volume":7.166415214538574,"liquidity":8882.33927,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T12:19:03.384468Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T12:18:40.477347Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031/will-tim-cywinski-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158895","event_title":"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.435,0.03,0.303,0.3025,0.0825,0.0675,0.077,0.074,0.1915,0.0745,0.068,0.0765,0.0325,0.0305,0.013,0.0065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822734","event_id":"674592","slug":"will-ericka-kopp-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158897","question":"Will Ericka Kopp be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Ericka Kopp","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0045,0.9955],"probability":0.0045,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:15:12.235057Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":208.627636,"volume_24hr":208.627636,"prob_24h_change":-0.4345,"volume_24h_change":208.627636,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.192108154296875,"normalized_volume":8.106051445007324,"liquidity":8589.06048,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.527163Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T14:25:27.527163Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031/will-ericka-kopp-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158897","event_title":"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.425,0.1835,0.1845,0.1855,0.1845,0.088,0.058,0.056,0.03,0.029,0.0255,0.021,0.009,0.0085,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822736","event_id":"674592","slug":"will-mel-tull-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158899","question":"Will Mel Tull be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Mel Tull","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:14:08.566125Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":131.32000000000002,"volume_24hr":131.32000000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.436,"volume_24h_change":131.32000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.51301383972168,"normalized_volume":6.770623683929443,"liquidity":9100.49782,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T12:19:03.384468Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T12:18:40.477347Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031/will-mel-tull-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158899","event_title":"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.435,0.245,0.41,0.4,0.3045,0.3035,0.302,0.3015,0.0255,0.0245,0.021,0.0205,0.0215,0.022,0.022,0.024,0.0075,0.007,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2822742","event_id":"674592","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158905","question":"Will another candidate be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T22:13:29.240924Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T22:57:28.092586Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T22:26:11.442618Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/va-01-democratic-primary-winner-20260706200157031/will-another-candidate-be-the-va-01-democratic-nominee-20260706200158905","event_title":"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/674592","as_of":"2026-07-07T14:27:12.850337Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner\" — top market at 82% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}