{"source":"polymarket","id":"677008","ticker":"clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303","slug":"clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303","title":"Clacton by-election Winner","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/matthew-36e7cf985b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/matthew-36e7cf985b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T15:09:01.316932Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":640.2191100000001,"volume_24hr":380.99799999999993,"prob_24h_change":-0.004,"volume_24h_change":101.77688999999992,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.613162994384766,"normalized_volume":11.717435836791992,"liquidity":18307.63196,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T19:23:09.675791Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T18:37:47.374521Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T15:54:48.052758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303/will-matthew-bensilum-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707144027828","event_title":"Clacton by-election Winner","chart_24h":[0.0045,0.005,0.0045,0.0035,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.0025,0.0025,0.0015,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2832144","event_id":"677008","slug":"will-natasha-osben-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707144027829","question":"Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Natasha Osben","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natasha-726ccea5fd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natasha-726ccea5fd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T15:11:36.827282Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":497.998,"volume_24hr":460.998,"prob_24h_change":-0.0045000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":383.998,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.3678617477417,"normalized_volume":10.825836181640625,"liquidity":12142.66219,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T18:09:15.289370Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:10:20.812458Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T15:54:48.052758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303/will-natasha-osben-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707144027829","event_title":"Clacton by-election Winner","chart_24h":[0.005,0.0035,0.0025,0.0025,0.002,0.0015,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2832145","event_id":"677008","slug":"will-tony-mack-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707144027830","question":"Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Tony Mack","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-andrew-pemberton-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707144027831-QxDd562UtXw2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-andrew-pemberton-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707144027831-QxDd562UtXw2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T15:25:35.197677Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":497.998,"volume_24hr":460.998,"prob_24h_change":-0.004999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":423.998,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.3678617477417,"normalized_volume":10.825836181640625,"liquidity":11201.68419,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T18:08:48.867907Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:10:20.812458Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T15:54:48.052758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303/will-andrew-pemberton-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707144027831","event_title":"Clacton by-election Winner","chart_24h":[0.005,0.0035,0.0025,0.0025,0.002,0.0015,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2832191","event_id":"677008","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707144027876","question":"Will someone else win the Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T15:09:13.271300Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T17:24:50.833867Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T15:54:48.052758Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T15:54:48.052758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303/will-someone-else-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707144027876","event_title":"Clacton by-election Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/677008","as_of":"2026-07-08T20:13:15.096881Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Clacton by-election Winner\" — top market at 8% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}