{"source":"polymarket","id":"677162","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-9-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-9-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:00:15Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27673.189441999995,"volume_24hr":27673.189442000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.936405181884766,"normalized_volume":21.3503475189209,"liquidity":22798.7619,"open_interest":22325.077294,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.705,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.20499999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":27676.328074000005,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:47:24.865157Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:47:24.865157Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:09:13.450357Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-9-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,2.941175,21.764699999999998,48.5294,79.41175,90.2941,103.137236,103.137236,113.137236,349.038324,710.756239,820.677022,820.677022,820.677022,820.677022,820.677022,820.677022,888.206431,1098.027911,9534.238071,13786.56405,17863.339972,20072.777031999998,21027.561128,21590.361748,23013.829534,23791.310914,25493.175725000005,27673.189442000003],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2833061","event_id":"677162","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-9-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.705,0.295],"probability":0.705,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:00:15Z","end_date":"2026-07-09T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27679.269248999994,"volume_24hr":27679.269249000004,"prob_24h_change":0.20499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":27676.328074000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.8293342590332,"normalized_volume":29.345138549804688,"liquidity":22729.7034,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:48:30.526246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:47:25.506479Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:09:13.534957Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-9-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-9-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.515,0.515,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.525,0.555,0.605,0.685,0.675,0.655,0.645,0.675,0.595,0.66,0.705]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/677162","as_of":"2026-07-08T22:57:52.492356Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?\" — top market at 70% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}