{"source":"polymarket","id":"678508","ticker":"mo-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260707172424563","slug":"mo-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260707172424563","title":"MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:58:25.468775Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":149.028029,"volume_24hr":76.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.140528202056885,"normalized_volume":5.1222333908081055,"liquidity":276.60214,"open_interest":142.05052899999998,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"24","slug":"us-election","label":"USA Election"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"103958","slug":"missouri-primary","label":"Missouri Primary"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"105189","slug":"august-4-primaries","label":"August 4 Primaries"},{"id":"936","slug":"democratic-primary","label":"Democratic Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fred Wellman","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.26,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":71.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:50:25.593120Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T16:50:25.593120Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:09:59.693255Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260707172424563","chart_24h":[73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,73.028029,8.0,8.0,8.0,8.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,76.0,76.0,76.0,76.0,76.0,76.0,76.0,76.0,76.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2839459","event_id":"678508","slug":"will-fred-wellman-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424567","question":"Will Fred Wellman be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Fred Wellman","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:58:43.430733Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":76.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.26,"volume_24h_change":71.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.73166561126709,"normalized_volume":5.4468464851379395,"liquidity":100.2348,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:36:42.669525Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T15:51:10.738075Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:09:59.708323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260707172424563/will-fred-wellman-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424567","event_title":"MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.78,0.775,0.775,0.775,0.77,0.785,0.765,0.775,0.785,0.78,0.785,0.765,0.775,0.765,0.78,0.785,0.775,0.5,0.525,0.525,0.515,0.505,0.525,0.49,0.52,0.525,0.52,0.51,0.515,0.525,0.515,0.52,0.52]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2839463","event_id":"678508","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424571","question":"Will another candidate be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:59:02.732776Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T01:51:03.025867Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:09:59.708323Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:09:59.708323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260707172424563/will-another-candidate-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424571","event_title":"MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2839458","event_id":"678508","slug":"will-joan-vondras-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424566","question":"Will Joan VonDras be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Joan VonDras","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:58:33.183332Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.305,"volume_24h_change":-5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.9004793763160706,"liquidity":38.7045,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:51:13.271556Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T16:50:25.990740Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:09:59.708323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260707172424563/will-joan-vondras-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424566","event_title":"MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.135,0.13,0.13,0.135,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.37,0.385,0.43,0.45,0.455,0.425,0.4,0.44,0.425,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.445,0.445,0.425,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2839457","event_id":"678508","slug":"will-nick-vivio-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424565","question":"Will Nick Vivio be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Nick Vivio","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3295,0.6705],"probability":0.3295,"spread":0.639,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:58:28.302001Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":63.028029,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.2595,"volume_24h_change":-63.028029,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.852429389953613,"liquidity":49.02662,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:36:42.669525Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T15:20:37.087299Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:09:59.708323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260707172424563/will-nick-vivio-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424565","event_title":"MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.07,0.06,0.045,0.0425,0.0425,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.306,0.3285,0.328,0.327,0.327,0.327,0.3255,0.3245,0.329,0.329,0.3295,0.3295,0.3295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2839456","event_id":"678508","slug":"will-tim-bilash-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424564","question":"Will Tim Bilash be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Tim Bilash","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.305,0.695],"probability":0.305,"spread":0.59,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:58:25.468775Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.10000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":91.209,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:36:42.669525Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T11:57:31.953361Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:09:59.708323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260707172424563/will-tim-bilash-be-the-mo-02-democratic-nominee-20260707172424564","event_title":"MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.405,0.4,0.4,0.405,0.4,0.405,0.39,0.385,0.375,0.39,0.39,0.455,0.425,0.425,0.455,0.455,0.45,0.455,0.455,0.44,0.455,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.455,0.445,0.44,0.32,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/678508","as_of":"2026-07-09T17:02:09.272530Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"MO-02 Democratic Primary Winner\" — top market at 52% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}