{"source":"polymarket","id":"678685","ticker":"viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551","slug":"viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551","title":"Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Viktor Orbán is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551-AWGDrU0TXcos.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551-AWGDrU0TXcos.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T01:15:24.492150Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2227.240553,"volume_24hr":2227.240553,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.040714263916016,"normalized_volume":12.130406379699707,"liquidity":17650.1123,"open_interest":1044.190149,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"103761","slug":"orban","label":"Orban"},{"id":"101272","slug":"hungary","label":"Hungary"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"103194","slug":"viktor-orban","label":"Viktor Orban"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.175,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.32,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2227.240553,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T11:25:48.255282Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T11:25:48.255282Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T01:22:58.375537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,231.063784,363.36263,1401.4240750000001,2041.974075,2041.974075,2204.830916,2227.240553],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2839955","event_id":"678685","slug":"viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551","question":"Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Viktor Orbán is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551-AWGDrU0TXcos.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551-AWGDrU0TXcos.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T01:15:24.492150Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2227.240553,"volume_24hr":2227.240553,"prob_24h_change":-0.32,"volume_24h_change":2227.240553,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.03290557861328,"normalized_volume":16.668893814086914,"liquidity":21429.3922,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Hungary"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T11:11:24.997010Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T11:10:47.717195Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T01:22:58.398354Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551/viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551","event_title":"Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.13,0.14,0.145,0.15,0.275,0.175,0.175,0.175]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/678685","as_of":"2026-07-08T11:34:34.097949Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?\" — top market at 18% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}