{"source":"polymarket","id":"680847","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-10-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-10-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 10 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 10 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T16:00:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38069.599947999974,"volume_24hr":38067.639165,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.37406539916992,"normalized_volume":22.686891555786133,"liquidity":31501.2366,"open_interest":22219.722395,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.675,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.17500000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":38062.737207,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T22:03:27.553566Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:03:27.553566Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T16:10:55.384275Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-10-2026","chart_24h":[1.960783,4.901958,23.823525,38.627441999999995,46.568617,46.568617,58.431359,80.294101,85.294101,97.15684300000001,251.22115200000002,256.221152,271.605766,271.605766,273.52884100000006,273.52884100000006,273.52884100000006,273.52884100000006,835.14815,851.63579,1506.272044,15039.879584999999,15356.336952999998,19750.599679000003,26733.412007000006,30632.156732000003,31245.433567999997,31774.211723999997,35273.905399,38067.639165],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2846251","event_id":"680847","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-10-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 10 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 10 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.675,0.325],"probability":0.675,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T16:00:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38069.599947999974,"volume_24hr":38067.639165,"prob_24h_change":0.17500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":38062.737207,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.526527404785156,"normalized_volume":31.202438354492188,"liquidity":31838.7234,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T22:04:36.244097Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:03:27.729805Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T16:10:55.542293Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-10-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-10-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.54,0.525,0.505,0.455,0.445,0.565,0.695,0.625,0.66,0.685,0.675,0.675]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/680847","as_of":"2026-07-09T22:07:58.425523Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?\" — top market at 68% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}