{"source":"polymarket","id":"681382","ticker":"us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046","slug":"us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046","title":"US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?","description":"On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nActions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.\n\nQualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.\n\nContinued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.\n\nOnce a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-reissues-iran-oil-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260707233859432-_9sHfDKWlv_E.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-reissues-iran-oil-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260707233859432-_9sHfDKWlv_E.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T18:44:34.741619Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1902.9225580000002,"volume_24hr":1224.770708,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.04351043701172,"normalized_volume":11.627113342285156,"liquidity":11887.4413,"open_interest":848.2129070000001,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"August 31","top_outcome_probability":0.455,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":191.685,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T15:04:57.242568Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T15:04:57.242568Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:07:52.160730Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046","chart_24h":[678.1518500000001,678.1518500000001,678.1518500000001,678.1518500000001,766.793822,766.793822,834.163822,774.163822,811.200857,804.382677,945.112677,1119.722677,1119.722677,1289.722677,1289.722677,1413.645749,1413.645749,1413.645749,1413.645749,1420.542299,1632.2336890000001,1649.116802,1669.116802,1669.116802,1669.116802,1679.116802,1685.737278,1685.737278,1457.4957080000001,1417.495708,1316.895708,1292.205708,1217.830708,1245.400708,1258.400708,1224.770708],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2849356","event_id":"681382","slug":"us-reissues-iran-oil-sanction-relief-by-august-31-20260707233859434","question":"US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nActions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.\n\nQualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.\n\nContinued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.\n\nOnce a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.455,0.545],"probability":0.455,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:01:36.080408Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":578.4150000000001,"volume_24hr":385.05,"prob_24h_change":0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":191.685,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.443963050842285,"normalized_volume":11.35283374786377,"liquidity":7810.6346,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T15:05:49.708743Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T15:04:57.400324Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:07:52.179815Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046/us-reissues-iran-oil-sanction-relief-by-august-31-20260707233859434","event_title":"US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?","chart_24h":[0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.405,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.455]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2849355","event_id":"681382","slug":"us-reissues-iran-oil-sanction-relief-by-july-31-20260707233859433","question":"US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nActions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.\n\nQualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.\n\nContinued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.\n\nOnce a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T18:44:34.741619Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1324.507558,"volume_24hr":839.720708,"prob_24h_change":0.035,"volume_24h_change":354.93385799999993,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.908669471740723,"normalized_volume":14.498326301574707,"liquidity":5039.8304,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T15:05:49.708743Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T15:04:57.400324Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:07:52.179815Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046/us-reissues-iran-oil-sanction-relief-by-july-31-20260707233859433","event_title":"US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?","chart_24h":[0.225,0.225,0.21,0.205,0.21,0.205,0.205,0.225,0.225,0.335,0.285,0.28,0.265,0.25,0.25,0.255,0.25,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.25,0.245,0.24,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.235,0.23,0.235,0.245,0.255]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/681382","as_of":"2026-07-10T15:18:10.857342Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?\" — top market at 26% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}