{"source":"polymarket","id":"681406","ticker":"which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114","slug":"which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114","title":"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?","description":"This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. \n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThe qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. \n\nIf data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114-LWWhX99tW-cA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114-LWWhX99tW-cA.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T18:53:36.349146Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2284.684042,"volume_24hr":2284.684042,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.135515213012695,"normalized_volume":12.204331398010254,"liquidity":123391.9969,"open_interest":929.149568,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.38,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1376.6840419999999,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T15:36:03.053526Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T15:36:03.053526Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:22:40.220499Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114","chart_24h":[0.0,129.248857,129.248857,129.248857,129.248857,129.248857,129.248857,129.248857,129.248857,249.248857,269.248857,269.248857,269.248857,269.248857,269.248857,269.248857,269.248857,269.248857,269.248857,269.248857,629.248857,629.248857,1172.00457,1172.00457,1172.00457,1832.89457,1832.89457,1832.89457,2284.684042,2284.684042],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2849424","event_id":"681406","slug":"will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-not-return-to-normal-in-2026-20260702155718121","question":"Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?","group_item_title":"No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. \n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThe qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. \n\nIf data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-not-return-to-normal-in-2026-20260702155718121-4EWKrwSaDwws.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-not-return-to-normal-in-2026-20260702155718121-4EWKrwSaDwws.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T18:53:36.349146Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1376.6840419999999,"volume_24hr":1376.6840419999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":1376.6840419999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.408573150634766,"normalized_volume":14.654458999633789,"liquidity":56612.5738,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T15:06:15.577628Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T15:05:42.890378Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:22:40.272710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114/will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-not-return-to-normal-in-2026-20260702155718121","event_title":"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.435,0.43,0.445,0.38,0.42,0.465,0.475,0.465,0.46,0.45,0.465,0.375,0.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2849420","event_id":"681406","slug":"will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-september-20260702155718117","question":"Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?","group_item_title":"September","description":"This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. \n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThe qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. \n\nIf data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T18:59:52.016030Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":754.0,"volume_24hr":754.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.22,"volume_24h_change":754.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.994064331054688,"normalized_volume":12.317180633544922,"liquidity":4706.7464,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T15:05:42.890378Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T15:05:42.890378Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:22:40.272710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114/will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-september-20260702155718117","event_title":"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.445,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.385,0.37,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.235,0.23,0.235,0.215,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.205,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2849419","event_id":"681406","slug":"will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-august-20260702155718116","question":"Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?","group_item_title":"August","description":"This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. \n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThe qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. \n\nIf data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:04:23.679458Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.335,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.832030296325684,"normalized_volume":3.3075902462005615,"liquidity":9533.955,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T14:52:07.188529Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T14:51:17.743816Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:22:40.272710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114/will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-august-20260702155718116","event_title":"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.375,0.375,0.37,0.385,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.225,0.245,0.22,0.22,0.235,0.225,0.185,0.195,0.11,0.105,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2849421","event_id":"681406","slug":"will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-october-20260702155718118","question":"Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?","group_item_title":"October","description":"This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. \n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThe qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. \n\nIf data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:10:38.783219Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.365,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.832030296325684,"normalized_volume":3.3075902462005615,"liquidity":9556.0584,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T15:36:43.201046Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T15:36:03.125821Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:22:40.272710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114/will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-october-20260702155718118","event_title":"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.435,0.42,0.41,0.395,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.315,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.205,0.195,0.205,0.2,0.195,0.145,0.135,0.15,0.08,0.085,0.09,0.095,0.09,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2849422","event_id":"681406","slug":"will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-november-20260702155718119","question":"Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?","group_item_title":"November","description":"This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. \n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThe qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. \n\nIf data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:15:54.792542Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.365,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.832030296325684,"normalized_volume":3.3075902462005615,"liquidity":9691.1094,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T15:36:43.201046Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T15:36:03.125821Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:22:40.272710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114/will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-november-20260702155718119","event_title":"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.435,0.42,0.43,0.415,0.4,0.395,0.375,0.34,0.325,0.305,0.205,0.21,0.2,0.195,0.19,0.19,0.145,0.135,0.145,0.08,0.08,0.075,0.08,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2849418","event_id":"681406","slug":"will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-july-20260702155718115","question":"Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?","group_item_title":"July","description":"This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. \n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThe qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. \n\nIf data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T18:56:36.715361Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34.0,"volume_24hr":34.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.285,"volume_24h_change":34.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.1796040534973145,"normalized_volume":3.545509099960327,"liquidity":21076.8076,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T14:52:07.188529Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T14:51:17.743816Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:22:40.272710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114/will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-july-20260702155718115","event_title":"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.085,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.075,0.06,0.07,0.075,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2849423","event_id":"681406","slug":"will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-december-20260702155718120","question":"Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?","group_item_title":"December","description":"This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. \n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThe qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. \n\nIf data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:03:36.678395Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.305,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.832030296325684,"normalized_volume":3.3075902462005615,"liquidity":11249.9303,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T14:52:07.188529Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T14:51:17.743816Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:22:40.272710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114/will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-in-december-20260702155718120","event_title":"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?","chart_24h":[0.375,0.37,0.335,0.345,0.345,0.33,0.275,0.26,0.24,0.245,0.215,0.21,0.195,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.075,0.07,0.065,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/681406","as_of":"2026-07-09T15:44:14.039676Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?\" — top market at 38% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}