{"source":"polymarket","id":"681950","ticker":"mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388","slug":"mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388","title":"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:02:58.586873Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:03:23.496213Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388/will-another-candidate-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335399","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2850988","event_id":"681950","slug":"will-hartzell-gray-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335390","question":"Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Hartzell Gray","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.69,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:01:57.772197Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":56.961,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:22:06.422535Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T16:21:28.008152Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388/will-hartzell-gray-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335390","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.515,0.51,0.505,0.495,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.485,0.5,0.49,0.495,0.495,0.485]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2850990","event_id":"681950","slug":"will-randy-miller-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335392","question":"Will Randy Miller be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Randy Miller","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.75,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:02:22.684783Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":41.1764,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:06:53.965617Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T16:06:23.050535Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388/will-randy-miller-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335392","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.45,0.14,0.43,0.435,0.445,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.405,0.43,0.415,0.415,0.41,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2850992","event_id":"681950","slug":"will-ashleigh-rogers-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335394","question":"Will Ashleigh Rogers be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Ashleigh Rogers","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:02:34.965594Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":46.3812,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:21:28.008152Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T16:21:28.008152Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388/will-ashleigh-rogers-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335394","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.1,0.105,0.43,0.445,0.43,0.44,0.445,0.425,0.42,0.425,0.425,0.405,0.42,0.42,0.435,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2850993","event_id":"681950","slug":"will-wayne-russell-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335395","question":"Will Wayne Russell be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Wayne Russell","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:02:26.566866Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":52.8158,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:22:06.422535Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T16:21:28.008152Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388/will-wayne-russell-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335395","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.425,0.085,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.445,0.435,0.44,0.435,0.43,0.435,0.415,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2850989","event_id":"681950","slug":"will-jordan-herrera-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335391","question":"Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Jordan Herrera","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:02:16.796816Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":57.0265,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:06:53.965617Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T16:06:23.050535Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388/will-jordan-herrera-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335391","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.1,0.105,0.415,0.43,0.425,0.435,0.435,0.42,0.42,0.435,0.43,0.415,0.405,0.415,0.41,0.415]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2850991","event_id":"681950","slug":"will-g-rick-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335393","question":"Will G Rick be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"G Rick","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:02:15.749058Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":40.7074,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T16:22:06.422535Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T16:21:28.008152Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388/will-g-rick-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335393","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.43,0.44,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.43,0.435,0.445,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.435,0.405,0.405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2850987","event_id":"681950","slug":"will-jeanette-cass-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335389","question":"Will Jeanette Cass be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Jeanette Cass","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.315,0.685],"probability":0.315,"spread":0.57,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:01:50.611143Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.3282,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T15:21:38.231321Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T15:21:05.099374Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708140335388/will-jeanette-cass-be-the-mo-04-democratic-nominee-20260708140335389","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.45,0.125,0.43,0.435,0.445,0.43,0.43,0.315,0.325,0.325,0.315,0.325,0.325,0.315]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/681950","as_of":"2026-07-09T16:27:17.135621Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner\" — top market at 50% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}