{"source":"polymarket","id":"681965","ticker":"mo-05-republican-primary-winner-20260708141645769","slug":"mo-05-republican-primary-winner-20260708141645769","title":"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.795,0.205],"probability":0.795,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:04:40.212719Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":709.217378,"volume_24hr":614.445453,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":519.673528,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.267516136169434,"normalized_volume":12.090921401977539,"liquidity":9216.6749,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T23:35:22.069062Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T23:34:18.550277Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-05-republican-primary-winner-20260708141645769/will-rick-brattin-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645771","event_title":"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.775,0.77,0.77,0.775,0.79,0.785,0.805,0.805,0.81,0.815,0.8,0.795,0.79,0.8,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851037","event_id":"681965","slug":"will-taylor-burks-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645772","question":"Will Taylor Burks be the MO-05 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Taylor Burks","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:04:21.418125Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":146.214563,"volume_24hr":106.21456300000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":66.21456300000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.559498310089111,"normalized_volume":6.989475250244141,"liquidity":9110.0992,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T23:49:56.697316Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T23:49:03.039718Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-05-republican-primary-winner-20260708141645769/will-taylor-burks-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645772","event_title":"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.195,0.165,0.16,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.15,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851041","event_id":"681965","slug":"will-brett-hueffmeier-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645773","question":"Will Brett Hueffmeier be the MO-05 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Brett Hueffmeier","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.044,0.956],"probability":0.044,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:04:28.584177Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":57.04165,"volume_24hr":36.041650000000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.011000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":-10.999999999999993,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.513014793395996,"normalized_volume":4.626097202301025,"liquidity":8154.69931,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T23:35:22.069062Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T23:19:24.847693Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-05-republican-primary-winner-20260708141645769/will-brett-hueffmeier-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645773","event_title":"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.055,0.05,0.05,0.045,0.04,0.0385,0.045,0.044,0.0445,0.044]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851043","event_id":"681965","slug":"will-berton-apt-knox-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645774","question":"Will Berton A. 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The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.023,0.977],"probability":0.023,"spread":0.026,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:04:56.791697Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":90.912083,"volume_24hr":90.912083,"prob_24h_change":-0.0015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":90.912083,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.069647789001465,"normalized_volume":5.732594013214111,"liquidity":1404.94653,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T23:49:37.798252Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T23:49:03.039718Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-05-republican-primary-winner-20260708141645769/will-berton-apt-knox-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645774","event_title":"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0245,0.3,0.0195,0.0215,0.035,0.0185,0.025,0.022,0.028,0.015,0.029,0.0245,0.0315,0.0115,0.0325,0.0315,0.0135,0.0275,0.0125,0.011,0.042,0.0225,0.026,0.0235,0.011,0.0185,0.0135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851046","event_id":"681965","slug":"will-brad-patty-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645775","question":"Will Brad Patty be the MO-05 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Brad Patty","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:04:42.289038Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.95,"volume_24hr":45.949999999999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.03950000000000001,"volume_24h_change":45.949999999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.124783515930176,"normalized_volume":4.155554294586182,"liquidity":8251.1708,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T23:34:53.299111Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T12:12:23.999031Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-05-republican-primary-winner-20260708141645769/will-brad-patty-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645775","event_title":"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0505,0.046,0.026,0.034,0.011,0.0285,0.028,0.031,0.011,0.011,0.0105,0.03,0.027,0.027,0.018,0.0115,0.0105,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851030","event_id":"681965","slug":"will-micah-beebe-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645770","question":"Will Micah Beebe be the MO-05 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Micah Beebe","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.009,0.991],"probability":0.009,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:04:14.328636Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44.7,"volume_24hr":44.7,"prob_24h_change":-0.026499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":19.700000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.053178310394287,"normalized_volume":4.09749174118042,"liquidity":8333.98992,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T23:35:22.069062Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:33:33.100483Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-05-republican-primary-winner-20260708141645769/will-micah-beebe-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645770","event_title":"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0355,0.033,0.024,0.007,0.022,0.0345,0.021,0.0185,0.014,0.011,0.0095,0.009,0.009,0.009]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851059","event_id":"681965","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645779","question":"Will another candidate be the MO-05 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:05:17.300251Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T23:49:56.697316Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:38.426180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-05-republican-primary-winner-20260708141645769/will-another-candidate-be-the-mo-05-republican-nominee-20260708141645779","event_title":"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/681965","as_of":"2026-07-09T23:51:49.128540Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 80% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}