{"source":"polymarket","id":"682073","ticker":"mi-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708151156141","slug":"mi-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708151156141","title":"MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mi-03-house-election-winner-_Kqt7FtU2drm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mi-03-house-election-winner-_Kqt7FtU2drm.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:14:10.845621Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2773.6,"volume_24hr":2773.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.436004638671875,"normalized_volume":12.827109336853027,"liquidity":28145.40836,"open_interest":1189.927275,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"24","slug":"us-election","label":"USA Election"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"1433","slug":"michigan-primary","label":"Michigan Primary"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"105189","slug":"august-4-primaries","label":"August 4 Primaries"},{"id":"936","slug":"democratic-primary","label":"Democratic Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Sean McCann","top_outcome_probability":0.962,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09199999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1766.93,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T03:58:17.830088Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T03:58:17.830088Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:39.425804Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mi-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708151156141","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,2773.6,2773.6,2773.6,2773.6,2773.6],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851325","event_id":"682073","slug":"will-sean-mccann-be-the-mi-04-democratic-nominee-20260708151156143","question":"Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Sean McCann","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.962,0.038],"probability":0.962,"spread":0.024,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:14:20.978667Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1766.93,"volume_24hr":1766.93,"prob_24h_change":0.09199999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1766.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.39739990234375,"normalized_volume":15.683201789855957,"liquidity":13064.40824,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T03:43:49.607958Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T03:43:37.698194Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:39.931407Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mi-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708151156141/will-sean-mccann-be-the-mi-04-democratic-nominee-20260708151156143","event_title":"MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.87,0.865,0.964,0.9645,0.962]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851324","event_id":"682073","slug":"will-diop-harris-be-the-mi-04-democratic-nominee-20260708151156142","question":"Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Diop Harris","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0205,0.9795],"probability":0.0205,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:14:10.845621Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1006.6700000000001,"volume_24hr":1006.6700000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.0595,"volume_24h_change":1006.6700000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.011579513549805,"normalized_volume":13.4136962890625,"liquidity":14698.0358,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T02:33:14.418994Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T02:33:08.011852Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:39.931407Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mi-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708151156141/will-diop-harris-be-the-mi-04-democratic-nominee-20260708151156142","event_title":"MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.08,0.085,0.025,0.017,0.0185,0.0205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851329","event_id":"682073","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-mi-04-democratic-nominee-20260708151156147","question":"Will another candidate be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:14:58.907148Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:03:23.496213Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:39.931407Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:39.931407Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mi-04-democratic-primary-winner-20260708151156141/will-another-candidate-be-the-mi-04-democratic-nominee-20260708151156147","event_title":"MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/682073","as_of":"2026-07-09T04:11:23.562602Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner\" — top market at 96% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}