{"source":"polymarket","id":"682092","ticker":"arizona-passes-ballot-measure-restricting-transgender-school-and-athletic-access-20260708183800539","slug":"arizona-passes-ballot-measure-restricting-transgender-school-and-athletic-access-20260708183800539","title":"Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?","description":"Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nSubsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. \n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arizona-governor-winner-2026-DIj4SPXmeOsH.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arizona-governor-winner-2026-DIj4SPXmeOsH.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:21:30.900296Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":125.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.7508625984191895,"liquidity":621.9587,"open_interest":65.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"1591","slug":"arizona","label":"arizona"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"176","slug":"us-elections","label":"depec us elections"},{"id":"104044","slug":"arizona-midterm","label":"Arizona Midterm"},{"id":"100379","slug":"ballot-initiative","label":"ballot initiative"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.575,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:00:44.395342Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T22:00:44.395342Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:33:22.210170Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-passes-ballot-measure-restricting-transgender-school-and-athletic-access-20260708183800539","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2851437","event_id":"682092","slug":"arizona-passes-ballot-measure-restricting-transgender-school-and-athletic-access-20260708183800539","question":"Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nSubsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. \n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/). ","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arizona-governor-winner-2026-DIj4SPXmeOsH.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arizona-governor-winner-2026-DIj4SPXmeOsH.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.575,0.425],"probability":0.575,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T22:21:30.900296Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":125.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.495260238647461,"liquidity":621.9587,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:00:45.297153Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T22:00:45.297153Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T22:33:22.248526Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-passes-ballot-measure-restricting-transgender-school-and-athletic-access-20260708183800539/arizona-passes-ballot-measure-restricting-transgender-school-and-athletic-access-20260708183800539","event_title":"Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?","chart_24h":[0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.58,0.6,0.605]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/682092","as_of":"2026-07-25T22:08:10.137595Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?\" — top market at 57% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}