{"source":"polymarket","id":"684337","ticker":"will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260709012217842","slug":"will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260709012217842","title":"Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jordan-bardella-out-as-member-of-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260708191730922-1H6LOM5nDQTd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jordan-bardella-out-as-member-of-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260708191730922-1H6LOM5nDQTd.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T13:43:46.832020Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1890.230717,"volume_24hr":1890.230717,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.102210998535156,"normalized_volume":11.609602928161621,"liquidity":25102.25042,"open_interest":1034.930717,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"1378","slug":"france","label":"France"},{"id":"100258","slug":"appeal","label":"appeal"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"105549","slug":"national-rally","label":"national rally"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.215,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.24000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":219.03,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T22:03:54.699987Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:03:54.699987Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T13:55:50.198754Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260709012217842","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,148.658338,1296.828338,1525.678338,1525.678338,1525.678338,1590.248338,1590.248338,1740.230717,1810.230717,1890.230717],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2859587","event_id":"684337","slug":"will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-by-december-31-2026-20260709012217844","question":"Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T13:43:55.186442Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":219.03,"volume_24hr":219.03,"prob_24h_change":-0.24000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":219.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.552616119384766,"normalized_volume":8.160151481628418,"liquidity":488.8866,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T21:49:33.643206Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T21:48:57.672693Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T13:55:50.232053Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260709012217842/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-by-december-31-2026-20260709012217844","event_title":"Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?","chart_24h":[0.455,0.405,0.5,0.295,0.28,0.275,0.27,0.275,0.32,0.205,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2859588","event_id":"684337","slug":"will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-by-march-31-2027-20260709012217845","question":"Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T13:43:46.832020Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":442.030717,"volume_24hr":442.030717,"prob_24h_change":-0.235,"volume_24h_change":442.030717,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.192476272583008,"normalized_volume":10.415205001831055,"liquidity":9111.5742,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:21:56.440474Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T20:21:21.712393Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T13:55:50.232053Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260709012217842/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-by-march-31-2027-20260709012217845","event_title":"Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.44,0.445,0.48,0.475,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2859586","event_id":"684337","slug":"will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-by-july-31-2026-20260709012217843","question":"Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by July 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0165,0.9835],"probability":0.0165,"spread":0.025,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T13:44:04.398892Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1229.17,"volume_24hr":1229.17,"prob_24h_change":-0.4285,"volume_24h_change":1229.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.62175941467285,"normalized_volume":14.198841094970703,"liquidity":15095.71502,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T22:04:19.416411Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:03:54.735278Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T13:55:50.232053Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260709012217842/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-by-july-31-2026-20260709012217843","event_title":"Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.085,0.0295,0.029,0.029,0.028,0.028,0.0165]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/684337","as_of":"2026-07-09T22:06:20.951749Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?\" — top market at 2% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}