{"source":"polymarket","id":"684445","ticker":"toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-20260708231025962","slug":"toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-20260708231025962","title":"\"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Toy Story 5\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/toy-story-5-opening-weekend-box-office-446-f_Kv6jNQJMCC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/toy-story-5-opening-weekend-box-office-446-f_Kv6jNQJMCC.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T14:36:43.279122Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5381.21662,"volume_24hr":5381.21662,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.413761138916016,"normalized_volume":15.045500755310059,"liquidity":10380.70733,"open_interest":5857.015385999999,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"51","slug":"box-office","label":"box office"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"<19m","top_outcome_probability":0.695,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19499999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5353.21662,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T19:15:31.726474Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:15:31.726474Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T14:51:45.325703Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-20260708231025962","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,100.0,325.0,342.0,342.0,1377.89,1377.89,1477.016314,4142.155854,5319.319186,5319.319186,5319.319186,5381.21662],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2859893","event_id":"684445","slug":"will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-19m-20260708231025963","question":"Will \"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?","group_item_title":"<19m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Toy Story 5\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.695,0.305],"probability":0.695,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T14:36:43.279122Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5353.21662,"volume_24hr":5353.21662,"prob_24h_change":0.19499999999999995,"volume_24h_change":5353.21662,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.8582706451416,"normalized_volume":20.675674438476562,"liquidity":4467.9267,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T19:16:12.399855Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:15:32.224759Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T14:51:45.350179Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-20260708231025962/will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-19m-20260708231025963","event_title":"\"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.5,0.58,0.585,0.52,0.495,0.49,0.5,0.565,0.57,0.55,0.495,0.57,0.575,0.58,0.49,0.495,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.59,0.595,0.59,0.4,0.355,0.39,0.375,0.365,0.37,0.375,0.605,0.675,0.65,0.63,0.695]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2859894","event_id":"684445","slug":"will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-between-19m-and-21m-20260708231025964","question":"Will \"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?","group_item_title":"19-21m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Toy Story 5\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T14:36:45.265932Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.0,"volume_24hr":7.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.31,"volume_24h_change":7.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5168673992156982,"normalized_volume":1.2128520011901855,"liquidity":1671.6256,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T19:16:12.399855Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:15:32.224759Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T14:51:45.350179Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-20260708231025962/will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-between-19m-and-21m-20260708231025964","event_title":"\"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.49,0.255,0.255,0.26,0.4,0.45,0.455,0.365,0.275,0.275,0.315,0.39,0.335,0.265,0.455,0.46,0.465,0.41,0.375,0.265,0.265,0.3,0.385,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.215,0.23,0.295,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2859897","event_id":"684445","slug":"will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-25m-20260709142907770","question":"Will \"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 25m?","group_item_title":"25m+","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Toy Story 5\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T14:37:01.531356Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.0,"volume_24hr":7.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.24500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":7.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5168673992156982,"normalized_volume":1.2128520011901855,"liquidity":279.0448,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T19:01:48.027811Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:01:06.046183Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T14:51:45.350179Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-20260708231025962/will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-25m-20260709142907770","event_title":"\"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.34,0.375,0.125,0.19,0.4,0.45,0.445,0.34,0.215,0.125,0.28,0.39,0.125,0.125,0.205,0.445,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.3,0.235,0.195,0.125,0.275,0.125,0.125,0.125,0.13,0.125,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2859895","event_id":"684445","slug":"will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-between-21m-and-23m-20260708231025965","question":"Will \"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?","group_item_title":"21-23m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Toy Story 5\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T14:36:50.145639Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.0,"volume_24hr":7.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":7.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5168673992156982,"normalized_volume":1.2128520011901855,"liquidity":2277.0917,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T19:16:12.399855Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:15:32.224759Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T14:51:45.350179Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-20260708231025962/will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-between-21m-and-23m-20260708231025965","event_title":"\"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.245,0.195,0.2,0.4,0.465,0.465,0.375,0.22,0.2,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.225,0.465,0.455,0.455,0.45,0.405,0.32,0.215,0.195,0.195,0.295,0.205,0.205,0.195,0.175,0.17,0.1,0.055,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2859896","event_id":"684445","slug":"will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-between-23m-and-25m-20260708231025966","question":"Will \"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 25m?","group_item_title":"23-25m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Toy Story 5\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.046,0.954],"probability":0.046,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T14:36:54.518317Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.0,"volume_24hr":7.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.189,"volume_24h_change":7.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5168673992156982,"normalized_volume":1.2128520011901855,"liquidity":1683.60823,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T19:16:12.399855Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:15:32.224759Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T14:51:45.350179Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-20260708231025962/will-toy-story-5-4th-weekend-box-office-be-between-23m-and-25m-20260708231025966","event_title":"\"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.235,0.155,0.21,0.39,0.45,0.445,0.35,0.215,0.15,0.345,0.36,0.295,0.15,0.205,0.435,0.425,0.42,0.435,0.425,0.335,0.185,0.245,0.15,0.255,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.145,0.125,0.04,0.0855,0.046]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/684445","as_of":"2026-07-10T19:19:37.979888Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"\"Toy Story 5\" 4th Weekend Box Office\" — top market at 70% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}