{"source":"polymarket","id":"684638","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-11-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-11-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 11 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 11 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T16:00:14Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21911.294513999997,"volume_24hr":21899.534514000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.688390731811523,"normalized_volume":20.364900588989258,"liquidity":23161.4104,"open_interest":13882.173982,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.365,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.135,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21885.813731000002,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T19:15:33.540433Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:15:33.540433Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T16:06:46.949978Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-11-2026","chart_24h":[11.76,11.76,13.720782999999999,13.720782999999999,13.720782999999999,13.720782999999999,21.661958,26.661958,43.524699999999996,70.2894,96.073709,101.073709,101.073709,101.073709,117.073709,117.073709,117.073709,117.073709,117.073709,617.073709,617.073709,617.073709,877.073709,896.681551,1060.531551,5617.136197,10582.772956000003,12486.047113,19332.49146,21899.534514000003],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2860420","event_id":"684638","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-11-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 11 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 11 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T16:00:14Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21911.294513999997,"volume_24hr":21899.534514000003,"prob_24h_change":-0.135,"volume_24h_change":21885.813731000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.03934860229492,"normalized_volume":28.0196590423584,"liquidity":22416.7256,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T19:16:29.228926Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:15:33.686916Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T16:06:47.025637Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-11-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-11-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.48,0.475,0.465,0.395,0.415,0.365]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/684638","as_of":"2026-07-10T19:20:58.582846Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?\" — top market at 36% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}