{"source":"polymarket","id":"686161","ticker":"emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series","slug":"emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series","title":"Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series","description":"The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California\n\nThis market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.\n\nIf for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/emmy-006cc5a200.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/emmy-006cc5a200.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:10:10.558282Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1553.305078,"volume_24hr":1553.305078,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.770919799804688,"normalized_volume":11.007245063781738,"liquidity":21324.29637,"open_interest":1054.892076,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"100338","slug":"tv","label":"TV"},{"id":"983","slug":"emmys","label":"Emmys"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Noah Wyle – “The Pitt”","top_outcome_probability":0.905,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.405,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1285.855078,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T00:45:59.027204Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:45:59.027204Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:24:30.688535Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series","chart_24h":[0.0,92.45,132.45,230.445078,357.675078,357.675078,357.675078,394.675078,394.675078,394.675078,394.675078,394.675078,394.675078,394.675078,394.675078,394.675078,394.675078,416.675078,416.675078,437.675078,437.675078,477.675078,497.675078,497.675078,497.675078,497.675078,497.675078,497.675078,1202.305078,1510.305078,1510.305078,1553.305078,1553.305078],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865739","event_id":"686161","slug":"will-noah-wyle-the-pitt-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229563","question":"Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?","group_item_title":"Noah Wyle – “The Pitt”","description":"The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California\n\nThis market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.\n\nIf for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.905,0.095],"probability":0.905,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:10:18.619180Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1285.855078,"volume_24hr":1285.855078,"prob_24h_change":0.405,"volume_24h_change":1285.855078,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.10793685913086,"normalized_volume":14.3792142868042,"liquidity":7965.0025,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T23:47:13.308495Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T23:46:13.103924Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:24:30.749865Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series/will-noah-wyle-the-pitt-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229563","event_title":"Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.52,0.71,0.765,0.77,0.775,0.775,0.775,0.825,0.895,0.905]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865737","event_id":"686161","slug":"will-mark-ruffalo-task-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229561","question":"Will Mark Ruffalo – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?","group_item_title":"Mark Ruffalo – “Task”","description":"The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California\n\nThis market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.\n\nIf for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:10:15.558908Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":68.15,"volume_24hr":68.15,"prob_24h_change":-0.455,"volume_24h_change":68.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.33894681930542,"normalized_volume":5.033653259277344,"liquidity":4458.3242,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T23:20:46.706284Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T23:20:09.309405Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:24:30.749865Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series/will-mark-ruffalo-task-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229561","event_title":"Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series","chart_24h":[0.5,0.485,0.475,0.125,0.07,0.06,0.065,0.06,0.055,0.065,0.055,0.055,0.045,0.06,0.045,0.05,0.055,0.05,0.055,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865736","event_id":"686161","slug":"will-gary-oldman-slow-horses-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229560","question":"Will Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?","group_item_title":"Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses”","description":"The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California\n\nThis market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.\n\nIf for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.029,0.971],"probability":0.029,"spread":0.052,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:10:10.558282Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":123.15,"volume_24hr":123.15,"prob_24h_change":-0.471,"volume_24h_change":123.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.211278915405273,"normalized_volume":6.52044153213501,"liquidity":2657.44581,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T00:46:32.267627Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:45:59.199894Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:24:30.749865Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series/will-gary-oldman-slow-horses-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229560","event_title":"Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.47,0.055,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.0645,0.065,0.065,0.035,0.0355,0.102,0.058,0.0445,0.072,0.0475,0.0495,0.037,0.0395,0.0475,0.041,0.0315,0.022,0.0185,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865735","event_id":"686161","slug":"will-sterling-kpt-brown-paradise-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229559","question":"Will Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?","group_item_title":"Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise”","description":"The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California\n\nThis market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.\n\nIf for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:10:12.649118Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":56.15,"volume_24hr":56.15,"prob_24h_change":-0.475,"volume_24h_change":56.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.781374454498291,"normalized_volume":4.5908942222595215,"liquidity":3261.86223,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T00:46:32.267627Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:45:59.199894Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:24:30.749865Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series/will-sterling-kpt-brown-paradise-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229559","event_title":"Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series","chart_24h":[0.5,0.48,0.47,0.35,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.085,0.08,0.065,0.095,0.055,0.06,0.065,0.075,0.075,0.065,0.065,0.0455,0.0435,0.047,0.039,0.046,0.0405,0.0495,0.0405,0.046,0.0255,0.028,0.024,0.028]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865738","event_id":"686161","slug":"will-rufus-sewell-the-diplomat-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229562","question":"Will Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?","group_item_title":"Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat”","description":"The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California\n\nThis market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.\n\nIf for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0215,0.9785],"probability":0.0215,"spread":0.013,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:10:17.578763Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4785,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.274059295654297,"normalized_volume":2.599876642227173,"liquidity":2993.50183,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T00:45:59.199894Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:45:59.199894Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:24:30.749865Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series/will-rufus-sewell-the-diplomat-win-emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-drama-series-20260709174229562","event_title":"Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series","chart_24h":[0.5,0.595,0.695,0.05,0.125,0.13,0.105,0.095,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.075,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.0255,0.103,0.0845,0.059,0.083,0.0825,0.075,0.1005,0.1135,0.0405,0.044,0.0545,0.042,0.029,0.0225,0.019]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/686161","as_of":"2026-07-11T01:03:49.926791Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series\" — top market at 90% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}