{"source":"polymarket","id":"686222","ticker":"which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604","slug":"which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604","title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. 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A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027-VNNU3Ms1Z60A.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027-VNNU3Ms1Z60A.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:36:48.545979Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1179.668122,"volume_24hr":1179.668122,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.46603012084961,"normalized_volume":10.197771072387695,"liquidity":39882.7745,"open_interest":333.90880400000003,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"102886","slug":"president","label":"President"},{"id":"286","slug":"celebrities","label":"Celebrities"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T13:08:34.398215Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T13:08:34.398215Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.616815Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604","chart_24h":[40.0,80.0,80.0,80.0,80.0,80.0,80.0,119.085258,119.085258,316.338893,513.188893,748.648893,760.648893,772.648893,772.648893,804.648893,907.648893,907.648893,922.898893,922.898893,928.148893,928.148893,928.148893,928.148893,936.898893,936.898893,1155.668122,1155.668122,1155.668122,1155.668122,1179.668122,1179.668122],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865984","event_id":"686222","slug":"will-andy-beshear-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125612","question":"Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Andy Beshear","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. 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An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. 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An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:37:09.761702Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":89.26363500000001,"volume_24hr":89.263635,"prob_24h_change":-0.32,"volume_24h_change":89.263635,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.161448955535889,"normalized_volume":5.686788558959961,"liquidity":8220.4059,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T07:21:02.461556Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T07:20:22.564791Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604/will-pete-buttigieg-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125610","event_title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.455,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.345,0.475,0.64,0.385,0.225,0.21,0.545,0.21,0.185,0.165,0.225,0.185,0.125,0.18,0.195,0.155,0.145,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865985","event_id":"686222","slug":"will-rahm-emanuel-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125613","question":"Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Rahm Emanuel","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. 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An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:37:26.510612Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":47.746358,"volume_24hr":47.746358,"prob_24h_change":-0.08499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":47.746358,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.335740566253662,"normalized_volume":4.23702335357666,"liquidity":780.1778,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T08:33:42.777540Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T08:33:42.777540Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604/will-ro-khanna-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125614","event_title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.225,0.275,0.27,0.27,0.195,0.27,0.38,0.17,0.2,0.265,0.35,0.33,0.275,0.145,0.175,0.255,0.135,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.135,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865978","event_id":"686222","slug":"will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125606","question":"Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:36:51.600368Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":78.61,"volume_24hr":78.61,"prob_24h_change":-0.35000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":78.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.767511367797852,"normalized_volume":5.373969554901123,"liquidity":475.662,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T13:09:13.904446Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T13:08:34.702553Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604/will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125606","event_title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.455,0.45,0.44,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.095,0.09,0.075,0.035,0.065,0.0505,0.045,0.0495,0.075,0.045,0.045,0.0445,0.045,0.045,0.075,0.02,0.022]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865980","event_id":"686222","slug":"will-kamala-harris-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125608","question":"Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:37:06.182016Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":167.629229,"volume_24hr":167.629229,"prob_24h_change":-0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":167.629229,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.287392616271973,"normalized_volume":7.374965667724609,"liquidity":7986.5749,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T08:34:43.399175Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T08:33:42.777540Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604/will-kamala-harris-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125608","event_title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.255,0.085,0.085,0.075,0.075,0.12,0.12,0.115,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.115,0.105,0.085,0.105,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865981","event_id":"686222","slug":"will-josh-shapiro-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125609","question":"Will Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Josh Shapiro","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.099,0.901],"probability":0.099,"spread":0.152,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:37:05.916446Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":66.86,"volume_24hr":66.86,"prob_24h_change":-0.151,"volume_24h_change":66.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.282715797424316,"normalized_volume":4.9890007972717285,"liquidity":622.3668,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T13:09:13.904446Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T13:08:34.702553Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604/will-josh-shapiro-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125609","event_title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.225,0.135,0.15,0.055,0.235,0.2345,0.23,0.135,0.086,0.053,0.0655,0.0625,0.0625,0.0855,0.1015,0.0915,0.121,0.0595,0.0805,0.0435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865987","event_id":"686222","slug":"will-stephen-apt-smith-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125615","question":"Will Stephen A. Smith be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Stephen A. Smith","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:37:29.338483Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":74.61,"volume_24hr":74.61,"prob_24h_change":-0.15,"volume_24h_change":74.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.609043121337891,"normalized_volume":5.248132228851318,"liquidity":574.3643,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T13:09:13.904446Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T13:08:34.702553Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604/will-stephen-apt-smith-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125615","event_title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.065,0.055,0.045,0.07,0.0495,0.0495,0.07,0.07,0.0495,0.045,0.0455,0.037,0.0375,0.034,0.0335]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865979","event_id":"686222","slug":"will-jon-ossoff-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125607","question":"Will Jon Ossoff be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Jon Ossoff","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0265,0.9735],"probability":0.0265,"spread":0.033,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:36:56.949461Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35.51,"volume_24hr":35.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.2235,"volume_24h_change":35.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.571625232696533,"normalized_volume":3.6302521228790283,"liquidity":1023.2313,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T10:30:17.869857Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T10:29:38.240996Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604/will-jon-ossoff-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125607","event_title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.205,0.21,0.115,0.21,0.335,0.205,0.1,0.085,0.2335,0.1595,0.2285,0.045,0.1475,0.037,0.1415,0.044,0.031,0.0295,0.0265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865983","event_id":"686222","slug":"will-jon-stewart-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125611","question":"Will Jon Stewart be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Jon Stewart","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0265,0.9735],"probability":0.0265,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:37:11.833460Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154.60999999999999,"volume_24hr":154.61,"prob_24h_change":-0.4235,"volume_24h_change":114.61000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.998612403869629,"normalized_volume":7.145649433135986,"liquidity":8403.3013,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T12:11:50.186462Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T12:11:09.486611Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604/will-jon-stewart-be-the-first-listed-democrat-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125611","event_title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.215,0.043,0.036,0.039,0.036,0.0335,0.0335,0.0335,0.0345,0.0295,0.0295,0.0285,0.03,0.029,0.028,0.0275,0.0265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2865988","event_id":"686222","slug":"will-another-democrat-be-the-first-listed-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125616","question":"Will another Democrat be the first listed to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T01:37:38.087470Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:31.045643Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T01:38:51.644743Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-democrats-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260709150125604/will-another-democrat-be-the-first-listed-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260709150125616","event_title":"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/686222","as_of":"2026-07-11T13:11:31.508333Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?\" — top market at 17% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}