{"source":"polymarket","id":"688303","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-12-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-12-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:00:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-12T16:12:59Z","volume":117503.472444,"volume_24hr":111867.26305199998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.69752502441406,"normalized_volume":27.75184440612793,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":34065.661255,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.43500000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":99031.80992999997,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T16:19:12.054135Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T16:19:12.054135Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:05:43.181412Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-12-2026","chart_24h":[13015.800728,14077.82603,14130.08603,15091.331543,16035.056846000001,18138.753708999997,18445.402278999998,19966.529037999997,20901.230665000003,21052.269398000004,21115.169183000005,21739.735328000002,24505.00126,25432.605352000006,28402.704361000004,30118.334969000007,31143.688962000004,32390.375077,32719.779444000007,34724.43836000001,38195.820163,39492.78928799999,40526.931662999996,42653.007437,47022.436841999996,49888.72935,68848.01036,89048.38166399999,111867.26305199998],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2871240","event_id":"688303","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-12-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:00:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-12T16:12:59Z","volume":117503.472444,"volume_24hr":111797.88305199998,"prob_24h_change":0.43500000000000005,"volume_24h_change":99031.80992999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.76264953613281,"normalized_volume":38.22706604003906,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T19:26:20.636922Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T16:19:12.107043Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:05:43.271406Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-12-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-12-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?","chart_24h":[0.595,0.615,0.615,0.525,0.385,0.325,0.325,0.425,0.455,0.465,0.505,0.475,0.405,0.365,0.195,0.235,0.255,0.375,0.195,0.315,0.235,0.23,0.455,0.295,0.295,0.285,0.555,0.755,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/688303","as_of":"2026-07-12T20:05:54.603219Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?\" — top market at 100% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}