{"source":"polymarket","id":"688435","ticker":"mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635","slug":"mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635","title":"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635-o7fpomsAEz0X.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635-o7fpomsAEz0X.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:14:34.276005Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1119.539697,"volume_24hr":1119.539697,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.223587036132812,"normalized_volume":10.048587799072266,"liquidity":3175.57144,"open_interest":524.4240970000001,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"100381","slug":"mlb","label":"MLB"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"102373","slug":"mlb-asg","label":"MLB ASG"},{"id":"678","slug":"baseball","label":"baseball"},{"id":"102010","slug":"home-run","label":"home run"},{"id":"102374","slug":"home-run-derby","label":"Home Run Derby"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Player C","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:56.826577Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:56.826577Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.880848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,104.0,139.7,314.84,314.84,325.23,374.23,553.72,601.89,769.629697,1019.699697,1069.539697,1119.539697,1119.539697],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2871625","event_id":"688435","slug":"will-kyle-schwarber-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby","question":"Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"Kyle Schwarber","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635-o7fpomsAEz0X.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635-o7fpomsAEz0X.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1755,0.8245],"probability":0.1755,"spread":0.023,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:15:00.846000Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":271.45818,"volume_24hr":271.45818,"prob_24h_change":-0.3245,"volume_24h_change":271.45818,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.106684684753418,"normalized_volume":8.819635391235352,"liquidity":481.3503,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:15.237087Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:56.873855Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.905246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635/will-kyle-schwarber-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby","event_title":"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.125,0.295,0.635,0.435,0.425,0.245,0.249,0.02,0.4695,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2871621","event_id":"688435","slug":"will-junior-caminero-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158638","question":"Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"Junior Caminero","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:14:43.310535Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":115.19,"volume_24hr":115.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":115.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.987128257751465,"normalized_volume":6.342446804046631,"liquidity":395.3908,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:15.237087Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:56.873855Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.905246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635/will-junior-caminero-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158638","event_title":"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.485,0.73,0.49,0.48,0.485,0.435,0.485,0.19,0.095,0.21,0.435,0.52,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2871622","event_id":"688435","slug":"will-jac-caglianone-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158639","question":"Will Jac Caglianone win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"Jac Caglianone","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:14:49.674321Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":90.53999999999999,"volume_24hr":90.53999999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.365,"volume_24h_change":90.53999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.206183433532715,"normalized_volume":5.722311496734619,"liquidity":696.4104,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:56.873855Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:56.873855Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.905246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635/will-jac-caglianone-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158639","event_title":"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner","chart_24h":[0.49,0.485,0.245,0.245,0.48,0.71,0.455,0.19,0.335,0.275,0.13,0.155,0.315,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2871623","event_id":"688435","slug":"will-jordan-walker-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158640","question":"Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"Jordan Walker","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1125,0.8875],"probability":0.1125,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:14:51.468972Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":178.41,"volume_24hr":178.41,"prob_24h_change":-0.3775,"volume_24h_change":178.41,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.513236045837402,"normalized_volume":7.554304122924805,"liquidity":472.90457,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:15.237087Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:56.873855Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.905246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635/will-jordan-walker-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158640","event_title":"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.495,0.4955,0.4785,0.4905,0.733,0.4725,0.199,0.3935,0.2295,0.201,0.3505,0.2675,0.116]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2871624","event_id":"688435","slug":"will-bryce-harper-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158641","question":"Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"Bryce Harper","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0895,0.9105],"probability":0.0895,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:15:00.578730Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":281.38151700000003,"volume_24hr":281.381517,"prob_24h_change":-0.40049999999999997,"volume_24h_change":281.381517,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.24885082244873,"normalized_volume":8.932527542114258,"liquidity":671.24171,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:15.237087Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:56.873855Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.905246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635/will-bryce-harper-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158641","event_title":"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner","chart_24h":[0.49,0.255,0.615,0.495,0.49,0.435,0.215,0.069,0.045,0.0715,0.4505,0.1055,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2871620","event_id":"688435","slug":"will-ben-rice-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158637","question":"Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"Ben Rice","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:14:38.187542Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":127.16,"volume_24hr":127.16,"prob_24h_change":-0.40499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":127.16,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.319912910461426,"normalized_volume":6.606705665588379,"liquidity":264.9301,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:35:51.897828Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:35:31.893710Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.905246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635/will-ben-rice-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158637","event_title":"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.255,0.49,0.49,0.105,0.385,0.165,0.135,0.695,0.425,0.255,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2871619","event_id":"688435","slug":"will-willson-contreras-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158636","question":"Will Willson Contreras win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"Willson Contreras","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0685,0.9315],"probability":0.0685,"spread":0.057,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:14:34.276005Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.400000000000006,"volume_24hr":55.4,"prob_24h_change":-0.4215,"volume_24h_change":55.4,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.743680953979492,"normalized_volume":4.560962200164795,"liquidity":467.95268,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:15.237087Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:56.873855Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.905246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635/will-willson-contreras-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158636","event_title":"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner","chart_24h":[0.49,0.5,0.5,0.25,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.1355,0.3345,0.095,0.0695,0.4495,0.0945,0.6135,0.069]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2871630","event_id":"688435","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158647","question":"Will someone else win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T16:15:23.808706Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T16:51:20.251649Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.905246Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T16:20:33.905246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635/will-someone-else-win-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709213158647","event_title":"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/688435","as_of":"2026-07-11T02:55:16.991426Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner\" — top market at 9% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}