{"source":"polymarket","id":"689188","ticker":"2026-mlb-home-run-derby-number-of-bonus-swing-hrs-20260709214434892","slug":"2026-mlb-home-run-derby-number-of-bonus-swing-hrs-20260709214434892","title":"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Number of Bonus Swing HRs","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/2026-mlb-home-run-derby-number-of-bonus-swing-hrs-20260709214434892-aI9drcSp3v2u.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/2026-mlb-home-run-derby-number-of-bonus-swing-hrs-20260709214434892-aI9drcSp3v2u.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T21:23:31.892543Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12311.777379999998,"volume_24hr":11717.77738,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.64677047729492,"normalized_volume":18.06010627746582,"liquidity":11332.12208,"open_interest":4647.678618,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"100381","slug":"mlb","label":"MLB"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"102373","slug":"mlb-asg","label":"MLB ASG"},{"id":"678","slug":"baseball","label":"baseball"},{"id":"102010","slug":"home-run","label":"home run"},{"id":"102374","slug":"home-run-derby","label":"Home Run Derby"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"3+ Bonus HRs","top_outcome_probability":0.9995,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.4645,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3153.8,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:45:21.984082Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:45:21.984082Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T21:40:14.203413Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mlb-home-run-derby-number-of-bonus-swing-hrs-20260709214434892","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,50.1,50.1,50.1,50.1,50.1,710.7101,750.7101,902.7101,1781.416348,2147.496348,2507.896348,3905.032348,7647.3896509999995,11607.77738],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2874007","event_id":"689188","slug":"will-there-be-3-bonus-swing-home-runs-during-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709214434893","question":"Will there be 3+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"3+ Bonus HRs","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9995,0.0005],"probability":0.9995,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T21:23:48.079960Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3453.7999999999997,"volume_24hr":3153.8,"prob_24h_change":0.4645,"volume_24h_change":3153.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.090782165527344,"normalized_volume":18.619380950927734,"liquidity":4163.47532,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:48:04.758467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:45:22.773933Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T21:40:14.245688Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mlb-home-run-derby-number-of-bonus-swing-hrs-20260709214434892/will-there-be-3-bonus-swing-home-runs-during-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709214434893","event_title":"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Number of Bonus Swing HRs","chart_24h":[0.535,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.685,0.755,0.76,0.765,0.855,0.855,0.905,0.94,0.48,0.48,0.8985,0.8495,0.955]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2874009","event_id":"689188","slug":"will-there-be-10-bonus-swing-home-runs-during-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709214434895","question":"Will there be 10+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"10+ Bonus HRs","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2495,0.7505],"probability":0.2495,"spread":0.499,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T21:23:52.881299Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":316.083,"volume_24hr":231.083,"prob_24h_change":-0.0605,"volume_24h_change":231.083,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.297593116760254,"normalized_volume":9.303217887878418,"liquidity":42.4201,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:47:16.194590Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:28:05.321337Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T21:40:14.245688Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mlb-home-run-derby-number-of-bonus-swing-hrs-20260709214434892/will-there-be-10-bonus-swing-home-runs-during-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709214434895","event_title":"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Number of Bonus Swing HRs","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.315,0.31,0.345,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.325,0.325,0.32,0.52,0.495,0.0255,0.01,0.25,0.2495]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2874008","event_id":"689188","slug":"will-there-be-6-bonus-swing-home-runs-during-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709214434894","question":"Will there be 6+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"6+ Bonus HRs","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.123,0.877],"probability":0.123,"spread":0.124,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T21:23:33.875882Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7219.210031999998,"volume_24hr":7219.210032,"prob_24h_change":-0.377,"volume_24h_change":7219.210032,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.377140045166016,"normalized_volume":22.140832901000977,"liquidity":3066.5529,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:47:16.194590Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:45:22.773933Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T21:40:14.245688Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mlb-home-run-derby-number-of-bonus-swing-hrs-20260709214434892/will-there-be-6-bonus-swing-home-runs-during-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709214434894","event_title":"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Number of Bonus Swing HRs","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.59,0.59,0.775,0.395,0.315,0.09,0.0425,0.172,0.208]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2874010","event_id":"689188","slug":"will-there-be-15-bonus-swing-home-runs-during-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709214434896","question":"Will there be 15+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","group_item_title":"15+ Bonus HRs","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T21:23:31.892543Z","end_date":"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1322.6843479999998,"volume_24hr":1113.684348,"prob_24h_change":-0.0995,"volume_24h_change":1113.684348,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.06290626525879,"normalized_volume":14.492775917053223,"liquidity":765.57623,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:47:16.194590Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:45:22.773933Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T21:40:14.245688Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mlb-home-run-derby-number-of-bonus-swing-hrs-20260709214434892/will-there-be-15-bonus-swing-home-runs-during-the-2026-mlb-home-run-derby-20260709214434896","event_title":"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Number of Bonus Swing HRs","chart_24h":[0.1,0.095,0.07,0.0335,0.0325,0.0255,0.09,0.063,0.074,0.0945,0.0055,0.005,0.005]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/689188","as_of":"2026-07-14T04:57:56.584550Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Number of Bonus Swing HRs\" — top market at 12% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}