{"source":"polymarket","id":"689474","ticker":"trump-approval-rating-on-july-17-20260710154118611","slug":"trump-approval-rating-on-july-17-20260710154118611","title":"Trump approval rating on July 17?","description":"This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.\n\nNote that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T22:36:49.523932Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6244.703429,"volume_24hr":6154.1523290000005,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.05173110961914,"normalized_volume":15.55318832397461,"liquidity":54491.5878,"open_interest":2236.643419,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101697","slug":"approval","label":"Approval"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"103356","slug":"approvals","label":"approvals"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"39.5–39.9","top_outcome_probability":0.445,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1091.9122370000002,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T22:01:53.559831Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T22:01:53.559831Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T22:37:56.788188Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-july-17-20260710154118611","chart_24h":[90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,90.55109999999999,86.38445,86.38445,86.38445,86.38445,86.38445,86.38445,86.38445,86.38445,378.90945,378.90945,378.90945,378.90945,438.90945,836.83945,5790.16412,5790.16412,6085.86412,6199.312329,6154.1523290000005],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2875101","event_id":"689474","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-39pt5-and-39pt9-on-july-17-2026-20260710154118614","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"39.5–39.9","description":"This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.\n\nNote that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). 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Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). 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Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). 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Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). 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Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). 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Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T22:37:10.583325Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":753.3823,"volume_24hr":707.9912,"prob_24h_change":-0.0245,"volume_24h_change":662.6001000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.909743309020996,"normalized_volume":12.314138412475586,"liquidity":6319.78218,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T21:19:41.847896Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T21:18:50.049535Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T22:37:56.819229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-july-17-20260710154118611/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-at-least-41pt0-on-july-17-2026-20260710154118617","event_title":"Trump approval rating on July 17?","chart_24h":[0.035,0.0345,0.035,0.035,0.035,0.035,0.035,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.03,0.03,0.014,0.0115,0.0105,0.0105]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/689474","as_of":"2026-07-12T22:15:53.531906Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Trump approval rating on July 17?\" — top market at 27% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}