{"source":"polymarket","id":"692901","ticker":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25","slug":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25","title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Ismael Bonfim\" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Axel Sola\" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:52Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2101.819722999999,"volume_24hr":58.357605,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.581072807312012,"normalized_volume":11.89021110534668,"liquidity":12426.7123,"open_interest":1443.652498,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"O/U 0.5 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Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","group_item_title":"Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola","description":"This market will resolve to \"Ismael Bonfim\" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Axel Sola\" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Ismael Bonfim","Axel Sola"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:54Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2070.859722999999,"volume_24hr":58.357605,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-1525.5305049999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.01822566986084,"normalized_volume":16.193031311035156,"liquidity":7944.0587,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T19:25:33.537550Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T19:25:33.537550Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T22:18:19.034076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.355,0.355,0.375,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.385,0.38,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2885065","event_id":"692901","slug":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Ismael Bonfim and Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 8, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:53Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":113.4351,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T19:25:33.537550Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T19:25:33.537550Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T22:18:19.034076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-totals-0pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.51,0.505,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2885066","event_id":"692901","slug":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Ismael Bonfim and Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 8, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:54Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":101.1559,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T19:25:33.537550Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T19:25:33.537550Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T22:18:19.034076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-totals-1pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.495,0.485,0.49,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2885058","event_id":"692901","slug":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Ismael Bonfim and Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:52Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":43.7296,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T13:37:18.278945Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T23:18:44.472358Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T22:18:19.034076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2885060","event_id":"692901","slug":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-bonfim-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Ismael Bonfim win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Bonfim to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ismael Bonfim defeats Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:52Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":43.7293,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T12:54:55.098048Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T23:18:44.472358Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T22:18:19.034076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-bonfim-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2885061","event_id":"692901","slug":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-sola-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Axel Sola win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Sola to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Axel Sola defeats Ismael Bonfim at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:54Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":43.7097,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T13:37:18.278945Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T23:18:44.472358Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T22:18:19.034076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-sola-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2885063","event_id":"692901","slug":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Ismael Bonfim and Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:54Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":43.7694,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T13:37:18.278945Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T23:18:44.472358Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T22:18:19.034076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-win-by-submission","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2885068","event_id":"692901","slug":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Ismael Bonfim and Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 8, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.455,0.545],"probability":0.455,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:54Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":4004.6285,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T18:19:41.701609Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T18:17:24.258482Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T22:18:19.034076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-totals-2pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.455,0.45,0.45,0.455]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2885056","event_id":"692901","slug":"ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Ismael Bonfim and Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.44,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T22:00:52Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.96,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.333118438720703,"liquidity":207.869,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T17:49:41.753127Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T17:47:39.613627Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T22:18:19.034076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25-go-the-distance","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.27,0.265,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.28]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/692901","as_of":"2026-07-20T19:35:42.604609Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)\" — top market at 38% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}