{"source":"polymarket","id":"696982","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-14-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-14-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T00:25:54.935765Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40751.175916,"volume_24hr":40751.175916,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.31538391113281,"normalized_volume":22.94234275817871,"liquidity":31919.8686,"open_interest":32566.89896,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":40751.175916,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T00:22:44.249602Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T00:22:44.249602Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T00:38:14.998992Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-14-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,1.960783,1.960783,1.960783,5.882349,15.882349,42.745091,80.2941,89.21566700000001,107.05880100000002,107.05880100000002,107.05880100000002,107.05880100000002,136.466641,167.83056100000002,177.83056100000002,30080.711067000007,31794.79900000001,32234.371616000008,33622.41762500001,33722.839975,37327.669035,39811.032433,40016.318146],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2900978","event_id":"696982","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-14-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T00:25:54.935765Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40751.175916,"volume_24hr":40751.175916,"prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":40751.175916,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.12925720214844,"normalized_volume":31.606470108032227,"liquidity":31974.4365,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T00:25:29.620336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T00:22:44.374694Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T00:38:15.046420Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-14-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-14-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.315,0.355,0.385,0.335,0.355,0.325,0.315,0.365]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/696982","as_of":"2026-07-14T00:28:29.265813Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?\" — top market at 42% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}