{"source":"polymarket","id":"699445","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-15-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-15-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T16:07:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14639.028565999999,"volume_24hr":14600.182414,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.50218963623047,"normalized_volume":18.72223472595215,"liquidity":33103.2361,"open_interest":11616.588489,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.395,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":14561.336262,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T20:57:12.865368Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T20:57:12.865368Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T16:57:00.213414Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-15-2026","chart_24h":[38.846152,38.846152,42.846152,78.846152,127.45398699999998,199.11750899999998,233.82338399999995,241.76455899999993,246.76455899999993,246.76455899999993,251.66651799999994,290.50651799999997,290.50651799999997,290.50651799999997,290.50651799999997,479.2965179999999,479.2965179999999,479.2965179999999,518.8219009999999,8938.319580000001,13000.622256999997,13784.529435999999,13991.410413,14443.093387,14494.522414,14600.182414],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2909017","event_id":"699445","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-15-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.395,0.605],"probability":0.395,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T16:07:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14639.028565999999,"volume_24hr":14600.182414,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":14561.336262,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.402219772338867,"normalized_volume":25.804101943969727,"liquidity":32875.8559,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T20:58:35.564286Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T20:57:13.147176Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T16:57:00.331447Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-15-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-15-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.395,0.405,0.425,0.425,0.395,0.395]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/699445","as_of":"2026-07-14T21:09:01.723477Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?\" — top market at 40% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}