{"source":"polymarket","id":"700115","ticker":"world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234","slug":"world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234","title":"World Cup: 4th Place Finish","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234-2DAJmGwQRD_x.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234-2DAJmGwQRD_x.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:40:09.510179Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3449.628626,"volume_24hr":3413.1016780000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.31024169921875,"normalized_volume":13.431543350219727,"liquidity":17724.89541,"open_interest":2991.4520009999997,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"519","slug":"world-cup","label":"world cup"},{"id":"102232","slug":"fifa-world-cup","label":"FIFA World Cup"},{"id":"105315","slug":"wc-tournament-futures","label":"Tournament Futures"},{"id":"102350","slug":"2026-fifa-world-cup","label":"2026 FIFA World Cup"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Country A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T21:47:21.380924Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T21:47:21.380924Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:45:14.090284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234","chart_24h":[36.526948,58.25253,91.272522,101.59252199999999,101.59252199999999,101.59252199999999,101.59252199999999,101.59252199999999,105.16394899999999,105.16394899999999,105.16394899999999,105.16394899999999,105.16394899999999,107.71561899999999,107.71561899999999,107.71561899999999,107.71561899999999,107.71561899999999,107.71561899999999,113.26339499999999,113.26339499999999,121.62339499999999,121.62339499999999,288.333395,497.853395,951.060171,1012.460171,3151.640171,3163.178629,3200.678626,3343.101678],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2911901","event_id":"700115","slug":"will-france-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429238","question":"Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","group_item_title":"France","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:40:25.531033Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1499.879558,"volume_24hr":1499.879558,"prob_24h_change":0.28,"volume_24h_change":1499.879558,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.637216567993164,"normalized_volume":15.003801345825195,"liquidity":801.1726,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T21:47:21.644829Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T21:47:21.644829Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:45:14.107288Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234/will-france-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429238","event_title":"World Cup: 4th Place Finish","chart_24h":[0.155,0.155,0.155,0.145,0.14,0.14,0.135,0.135,0.105,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2911898","event_id":"700115","slug":"will-argentina-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429235","question":"Will Argentina finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","group_item_title":"Argentina","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.395,0.605],"probability":0.395,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:40:09.510179Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":223.15917800000003,"volume_24hr":200.913657,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":182.668136,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.289210319519043,"normalized_volume":8.21650505065918,"liquidity":1021.5782,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T21:31:15.880161Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T21:29:57.570391Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:45:14.107288Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234/will-argentina-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429235","event_title":"World Cup: 4th Place Finish","chart_24h":[0.33,0.335,0.34,0.345,0.345,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.515,0.395,0.395,0.395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2911899","event_id":"700115","slug":"will-england-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429236","question":"Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","group_item_title":"England","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:40:19.438993Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":374.492731,"volume_24hr":360.21130400000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.11000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":271.929877,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.563539505004883,"normalized_volume":9.141043663024902,"liquidity":1184.9926,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T21:47:21.644829Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T21:47:21.644829Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:45:14.107288Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234/will-england-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429236","event_title":"World Cup: 4th Place Finish","chart_24h":[0.27,0.265,0.265,0.265,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.195,0.145,0.145,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2911900","event_id":"700115","slug":"will-spain-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429237","question":"Will Spain finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","group_item_title":"Spain","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:40:21.451121Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1352.0971590000001,"volume_24hr":1352.0971590000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.2745,"volume_24h_change":1352.0971590000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.140830993652344,"normalized_volume":14.581531524658203,"liquidity":12123.43704,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T21:15:04.080049Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T21:13:53.855537Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:45:14.107288Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234/will-spain-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429237","event_title":"World Cup: 4th Place Finish","chart_24h":[0.28,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.155,0.155,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2911904","event_id":"700115","slug":"will-another-country-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429241","question":"Will another country finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:40:45.355555Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T20:42:28.571895Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T19:45:14.107288Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:45:14.107288Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-4th-place-finish-20260713190429234/will-another-country-finish-4th-place-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260713190429241","event_title":"World Cup: 4th Place Finish","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/700115","as_of":"2026-07-14T21:59:02.200001Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"World Cup: 4th Place Finish\" — top market at 44% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}