{"source":"polymarket","id":"700842","ticker":"who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129414","slug":"who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129414","title":"Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. \n\nA qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.\n\nAddition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.\n\nAn addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-be-removed-from-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-2026070-pc4BuObkH1M6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-be-removed-from-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-2026070-pc4BuObkH1M6.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T23:44:05.640288Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1206.466662,"volume_24hr":1206.466662,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.531652450561523,"normalized_volume":10.246074676513672,"liquidity":497.3573,"open_interest":311.846662,"categories":["Science and Technology","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"86","slug":"us","label":"us"},{"id":"921","slug":"usa","label":"USA"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"303","slug":"china","label":"China"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"193","slug":"military","label":"military"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"105582","slug":"ai-regulation","label":"AI Regulation"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"DeepSeek","top_outcome_probability":0.6,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19499999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1144.1995220000001,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:41:36.012039Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:41:36.012039Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T23:56:07.788129Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129414","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,80.0,140.0,160.0,160.0,160.0,160.0,518.429522,518.429522,518.429522,732.999522,732.999522,732.999522,795.266662,795.266662,795.266662,860.266662,860.266662,860.266662,1202.466662,1202.466662,1202.466662,1202.466662,1206.466662],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2915296","event_id":"700842","slug":"will-deepseek-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129415","question":"Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. \n\nA qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.\n\nAddition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.\n\nAn addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20-d1I9HFOqjatN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20-d1I9HFOqjatN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.58,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T23:44:06.631432Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1144.1995220000001,"volume_24hr":1144.1995220000001,"prob_24h_change":0.19499999999999995,"volume_24h_change":1144.1995220000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.357376098632812,"normalized_volume":13.914607048034668,"liquidity":445.0938,"categories":["Science and Technology","Politics"],"countries":["China","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:42:39.500532Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:41:36.148660Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T23:56:07.953656Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129414/will-deepseek-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129415","event_title":"Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.495,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.495,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.545,0.555,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.315,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.435,0.6]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2915298","event_id":"700842","slug":"will-xiaomi-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129417","question":"Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. \n\nA qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.\n\nAddition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.\n\nAn addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-2026-Q_3t4rA0s3xp.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-2026-Q_3t4rA0s3xp.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T23:44:12.555013Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":62.26714,"volume_24hr":62.26714,"prob_24h_change":-0.325,"volume_24h_change":62.26714,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.671550750732422,"normalized_volume":4.824575424194336,"liquidity":102.4879,"categories":["Science and Technology","Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:08:50.833394Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:08:01.206512Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T23:56:07.953656Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129414/will-xiaomi-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129417","event_title":"Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.115,0.53,0.495,0.11,0.475,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.475,0.47,0.475,0.485,0.475,0.5,0.495,0.48,0.465,0.42,0.27,0.265,0.255,0.17,0.175,0.17,0.175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2915297","event_id":"700842","slug":"will-bytedance-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129416","question":"Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. \n\nA qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.\n\nAddition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.\n\nAn addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-2-e7oFgFeVNye2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-2-e7oFgFeVNye2.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.82,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T23:44:05.640288Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":20.2889,"categories":["Science and Technology","Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:25:06.917713Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:25:06.917713Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T23:56:07.953656Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129414/will-bytedance-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129416","event_title":"Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.515,0.5,0.505,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/700842","as_of":"2026-07-15T00:06:14.663589Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?\" — top market at 60% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}