{"source":"polymarket","id":"700875","ticker":"kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611","slug":"kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611","title":"Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-party-winner-20260713224438118-WUcngxuBq7ej.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-party-winner-20260713224438118-WUcngxuBq7ej.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T00:00:50.210079Z","end_date":"2026-08-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2566.070729,"volume_24hr":2566.070729,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.008731842041016,"normalized_volume":12.539946556091309,"liquidity":32861.69284,"open_interest":895.7432289999999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"105621","slug":"kazakhstan","label":"Kazakhstan"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Auyl","top_outcome_probability":0.695,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.26999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2013.6399999999999,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:08:02.013877Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:08:02.013877Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T00:23:58.948436Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,1330.09,1410.09,1410.09,1953.6399999999999,1993.6399999999999,2315.624,2566.070729],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2915350","event_id":"700875","slug":"will-auyl-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045613","question":"Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?","group_item_title":"Auyl","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/resp-d604cc66d0.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/resp-d604cc66d0.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T00:00:59.211143Z","end_date":"2026-08-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":250.446729,"volume_24hr":250.446729,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":250.446729,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.073312759399414,"normalized_volume":8.568989753723145,"liquidity":3035.6593,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Kazakhstan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:09:19.981278Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:08:02.175300Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T00:23:58.972370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611/will-respublica-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045614","event_title":"Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.405,0.405,0.4,0.405,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.1,0.105,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2915349","event_id":"700875","slug":"will-adilet-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045612","question":"Will Adilet win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?","group_item_title":"Adilet","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/adilet-33022681fc.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/adilet-33022681fc.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T00:00:50.210079Z","end_date":"2026-08-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":301.98400000000004,"volume_24hr":301.98400000000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.399,"volume_24h_change":301.98400000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.764376640319824,"normalized_volume":9.156851768493652,"liquidity":12233.07766,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Kazakhstan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T22:52:47.085922Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T22:51:58.896412Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T00:23:58.972370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611/will-adilet-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045612","event_title":"Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.405,0.405,0.4,0.405,0.4,0.4,0.165,0.155,0.165,0.065,0.075,0.08,0.07,0.075,0.07,0.06,0.065,0.075,0.07,0.075,0.0055,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2915382","event_id":"700875","slug":"will-another-party-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045645","question":"Will another party win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jsdp-2acfd99b66.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jsdp-2acfd99b66.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T00:01:13.577022Z","end_date":"2026-08-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.34,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1975.478,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Kazakhstan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T22:03:17.428724Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T22:02:36.542641Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T00:23:58.972370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611/will-jsdp-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045617","event_title":"Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.405,0.405,0.4,0.405,0.4,0.4,0.065,0.06,0.07,0.065,0.06,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2915352","event_id":"700875","slug":"will-aq-jol-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045615","question":"Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?","group_item_title":"Aq Jol","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/aqjol-4aa00f73d1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/aqjol-4aa00f73d1.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T00:01:10.776697Z","end_date":"2026-08-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.355,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2142.6644,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Kazakhstan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T22:52:47.085922Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T22:51:58.896412Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T00:23:58.972370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611/will-aq-jol-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045615","event_title":"Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.415,0.415,0.365,0.36,0.36,0.08,0.075,0.08,0.085,0.075,0.08,0.075,0.08,0.075,0.07,0.065,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2915353","event_id":"700875","slug":"will-qhp-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045616","question":"Will QHP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?","group_item_title":"QHP","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/qhp-924d4663e3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/qhp-924d4663e3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T00:01:10.497896Z","end_date":"2026-08-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.34500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":972.6053,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Kazakhstan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T22:36:37.016342Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T22:35:44.985884Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T00:23:58.972370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611/will-qhp-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045616","event_title":"Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.405,0.405,0.4,0.405,0.405,0.4,0.405,0.075,0.08,0.085,0.075,0.085,0.085,0.075,0.065,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2915355","event_id":"700875","slug":"will-baytaq-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045618","question":"Will Baytaq win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?","group_item_title":"Baytaq","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/baytaq-fda109ac86.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/baytaq-fda109ac86.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T00:01:15.574701Z","end_date":"2026-08-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.35000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1895.2387,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Kazakhstan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T22:52:47.085922Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T22:51:58.896412Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T00:23:58.972370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611/will-baytaq-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-2026-kazakh-kurultai-elections-20260713225045618","event_title":"Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.405,0.405,0.4,0.405,0.405,0.4,0.405,0.06,0.065,0.055,0.06,0.055,0.06,0.055,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.055]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/700875","as_of":"2026-07-14T23:22:56.463019Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place\" — top market at 70% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}