{"source":"polymarket","id":"703025","ticker":"turkey-rejoins-f-35-program-byptptpt-20260708215709215","slug":"turkey-rejoins-f-35-program-byptptpt-20260708215709215","title":"Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTurkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:\n- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;\n- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or\n- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.\n\nStatements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.\n\nOnce a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turkey-rejoins-f-35-program-byptptpt-20260708215709215-HBJ370YWY7hn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/turkey-rejoins-f-35-program-byptptpt-20260708215709215-HBJ370YWY7hn.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:17:25.927760Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1599.6441969999998,"volume_24hr":1599.6441969999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.790069580078125,"normalized_volume":11.075587272644043,"liquidity":16356.6982,"open_interest":930.725527,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"105598","slug":"f-35","label":"F-35"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101270","slug":"turkey","label":"Turkey"},{"id":"101967","slug":"erdogan","label":"erdogan"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.595,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":163.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T06:31:08.853501Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T06:31:08.853501Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:31:40.872686Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/turkey-rejoins-f-35-program-byptptpt-20260708215709215","chart_24h":[0.0,191.913917,199.913917,237.913917,237.913917,237.913917,237.913917,304.004825,342.004825,905.615528,905.615528,952.845528,952.845528,952.845528,952.845528,952.845528,952.845528,1576.145528,1576.145528,1576.145528,1576.145528,1576.145528,1576.145528,1576.145528,1599.6441969999996],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2922430","event_id":"703025","slug":"will-turkey-rejoin-the-f-35-program-by-june-30-2027-20260708215836391","question":"Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTurkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:\n- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;\n- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or\n- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.\n\nStatements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.\n\nOnce a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.595,0.405],"probability":0.595,"spread":0.49,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:17:25.927760Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":163.0,"volume_24hr":163.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":163.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.575800895690918,"normalized_volume":7.295112133026123,"liquidity":815.8173,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Turkey","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T04:25:45.402477Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T04:24:54.579687Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:31:40.895331Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/turkey-rejoins-f-35-program-byptptpt-20260708215709215/will-turkey-rejoin-the-f-35-program-by-june-30-2027-20260708215836391","event_title":"Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.69,0.585,0.43,0.505,0.485,0.465,0.55,0.555,0.685,0.69,0.615,0.635,0.595]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2922429","event_id":"703025","slug":"will-turkey-rejoin-the-f-35-program-by-december-31-2026-20260708215836390","question":"Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTurkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:\n- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;\n- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or\n- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.\n\nStatements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.\n\nOnce a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:17:26.201673Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1436.6441969999998,"volume_24hr":1436.6441969999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.325,"volume_24h_change":1436.6441969999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.4307804107666,"normalized_volume":14.82771110534668,"liquidity":15491.0539,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Turkey","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T06:33:48.232651Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T06:31:08.938622Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:31:40.895331Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/turkey-rejoins-f-35-program-byptptpt-20260708215709215/will-turkey-rejoin-the-f-35-program-by-december-31-2026-20260708215836390","event_title":"Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.26,0.36,0.305,0.305,0.32,0.155,0.12,0.075,0.165,0.16,0.175,0.18,0.17,0.175,0.175]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/703025","as_of":"2026-07-15T06:47:20.458929Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?\" — top market at 18% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}