{"source":"polymarket","id":"703388","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-16-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-16-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24289.60314599999,"volume_24hr":24287.64236300001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.448986053466797,"normalized_volume":20.73989486694336,"liquidity":31169.6763,"open_interest":10710.232485,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.325,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.175,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":24283.72079700001,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T21:03:26.783249Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T21:03:26.783249Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T16:15:52.198097Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-16-2026","chart_24h":[3.921566,3.921566,3.921566,3.921566,7.843133,19.607833,42.450967,70.392142,73.333317,73.333317,73.333317,86.274492,86.274492,103.196059,103.196059,107.117626,107.117626,107.117626,116.921546,116.921546,234.301546,1519.8571,1761.981265,1930.7734139999998,14770.911039000002,19991.003938,21267.597315000003,21316.400059000007,22902.050144000008,24109.75504800001,24149.86504800001,24287.64236300001],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2923346","event_id":"703388","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-16-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24289.60314599999,"volume_24hr":24287.64236300001,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":24283.72079700001,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.620758056640625,"normalized_volume":28.60037612915039,"liquidity":31311.695,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T21:04:47.756217Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T21:03:26.935176Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T16:15:52.314234Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-16-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-16-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.525,0.535,0.53,0.535,0.405,0.365,0.365,0.355,0.255,0.325,0.325,0.325]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/703388","as_of":"2026-07-15T21:08:21.761180Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?\" — top market at 32% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}